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Bookmakers make Cavaliers odds on favorites to win NBA title. I’m not taking that bet.

Jul 11, 2014, 10:33 PM EDT

LeBron James LeBron James

“We’re not ready right now. No way. Of course, I want to win next year, but I’m realistic. It will be a long process, much longer than it was in 2010. My patience will get tested. I know that. I’m going into a situation with a young team and a new coach.”
LeBron James, in his essay on why he decided to return to Cleveland

—————

The betting public does not see things the way LeBron James does.

LeBron sees a process but bookmakers — always trying to cover their potential losses — have the Cavaliers as the odds-on favorites to win the title next year. Here are the odds for the top 10 teams, as put up by bovda.com.

Cleveland Cavaliers 4/1
San Antonio Spurs 5/1
Oklahoma City Thunder 6/1
Chicago Bulls 7/1
Houston Rockets 8/1
Los Angeles Clippers 10/1
Indiana Pacers 18/1
Golden State Warriors 25/1
Portland Trailblazers 25/1
Dallas Mavericks 33/1

Those odds will obviously shift as we see who the Bulls and Rockets land, not to mention the other teams. But Vegas is seeming the same trends, reports the Linesmakers blog at The Sporting News.

The MGM has “quite a bit of risk” on the Cavs, sports book hub manager Jeff Stoneback told The Linemakers on Sporting News.

A surge of action on Cleveland at the LVH SuperBook, meanwhile, prompted an adjustment on the Cavaliers’ futures odds at that bet shop from 30-to-1 to 12-to-1.

Most places have numbers lower than that. These numbers show that the betting public is showering money on the Cavaliers.

Don’t do it. If you’re thinking of betting on the Cavs donate that money to charity instead so it does some good. You don’t need to worry about if Steve Wynn’s children will be able to eat.

Listen to LeBon people — this is a good Cavaliers team but they have a ways to go to win. New coach Dave Blatt has no experience and runs an unconventional offense. Kyrie Irving is a fantastic player but has no playoff experience. Same is true of everyone on that roster save LeBron and Anderson Varejao — and if they trade for Kevin Love he has no playoff experience either. Still a process.

The Cavs may not be better than however the Bulls end up, whatever the Pacers come back as. They are in the ballpark, maybe they make the Finals, but it’s tight. Bottom line is they are not as good as the Spurs or Thunder or Clippers, and maybe a few other teams in the West (depending on how that conference shakes out).

I think with LeBron the Cavs will win multiple titles in the next five to seven years. But not next season.

Take a deep breath people.

  1. 25yearindyfan - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:38 PM

    Overreact much?

  2. patfic5 - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:38 PM

    Uh, no.

  3. kibblesnvick - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:40 PM

    “Listen to ‘LeBon’ people…”

    Who?

    • antistratfordian - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:31 PM

      Simon Lebon

      • 1historian - Jul 12, 2014 at 7:17 AM

        Funny, but inaccurate.

        Inaccurate, but funny.

  4. bronx77 - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:52 PM

    Lebron will retire with at least 4 rings. He my even get more. Next year he will return to MVP. We will probably see the most locked in Lebron ever the entire season. With that being said I don’t see them winning it all next year. Never say never though

    • elrock7 - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:03 PM

      How is Lebron going to get 4 rings? I heard he signed with Cleveland.

  5. hurricanegrabowski - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:55 PM

    7/1 is a bit much for the Bulls even if they get Melo, and this is a Bulls fan talking. Not sure that team could adjust that quickly in a year (Melo on a new team, Rose getting up to speed) to beat the best in the West.

  6. tampajoey - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:58 PM

    One thing I’ve learned following sports over the years… Vegas odds makers know way more about sports than any sports writer. Odds makers are held extremely accountable by their casino/sportsbook employers, but when sports writers get it wrong they just move on to another story.

    • asimonetti88 - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:08 PM

      Vegas odds makers are usually in the ballpark, but they’re not always a home run. They are very good at picking favorites, but from there, they usually have a crapshoot… that’s all they need though, if they can get the favorites right, they’ll end up making money.

      • longtallsam - Jul 12, 2014 at 12:09 AM

        All the Vegas odds do is try to get the same amount bet on both sides.

    • Hard On For Harden - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:29 PM

      Amen. Heiln should call it quits after being such a jerk to anyone who even raised the possibility of LeBron heading back to the Cavs over the past couple of years.

      • tampajoey - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:35 PM

        Hey Hard On For Harden, I was hoping Houston would get Bosh. That would have been a helluva team. Bosh kind of screwed them with the Lin trade thing. Harden is a stud. Adding one more solid piece would make them scary good.

  7. chaseutley - Jul 11, 2014 at 10:59 PM

    Go Sixers!

  8. j0esixpack - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:02 PM

    I’d still bet the commissioner finds a way to give Cleveland the #1 pick again next year

  9. asimonetti88 - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:09 PM

    Bovada isn’t owned by Steve Wynn

  10. campcouch - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:13 PM

    They said the same thing the first year of the Miami Big 3.

    • revskip - Jul 12, 2014 at 3:58 AM

      And they were right. Mavs won the title that year. And everyone who took the Heat donated money.

  11. jadaruler - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:26 PM

    If Melo goes to Chicago, give me a Benjamin on them.

    • tampajoey - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:39 PM

      If Rose can stay healthy. It would be nice to see him make it through a complete season again. Heck, it would be nice to see him make it through a complete month healthy.

      • elrock7 - Jul 12, 2014 at 10:25 AM

        That’s funny, Rose must think the season is only 45 games long. Bulls are over-rated.

  12. antistratfordian - Jul 11, 2014 at 11:34 PM

    Hey, isn’t LeBron James on that team? Makes sense to me.

  13. fanofthegame79 - Jul 12, 2014 at 12:13 AM

    I wonder what the odds would be for one team to have both the MVP (James) and the ROY (Wiggins)?

  14. tigers182 - Jul 12, 2014 at 12:18 AM

    This is the reason why the NBA is boring. 27-28 teams know they have no chance to compete for the title.

  15. rdrfan - Jul 12, 2014 at 12:34 AM

    Stink to your guns Cav fans. Your being used again. Don’t have a short memory. He’s going to screw you guys again. It’s all about $$$$ new jersey’s, hats, shoes and broken promises. All us fans are pawns these days they use us and spit us out.

    • sdeberg - Jul 12, 2014 at 1:55 AM

      I am just amazed that Cavs fans have fallen down and worshiped at this guy’s temple – again. I really do believe that people can change – but … this guy is in it for the adoring fans, and the $ – not in that order – and that’s it. No championship here. Total truth – I’m a disillusioned NBA fan – at best – SO tired about the $ being thrown at people, and watching almost a joke version of basketball.

  16. fordmandalay - Jul 12, 2014 at 12:51 AM

    Are they all high? Or are they just fangirling hard?

  17. itmgrindmachines - Jul 12, 2014 at 2:07 AM

    With James headed to the Cavs there is no team worthy in the East to compete in the Finals. Heck, mind as well name the WCFs the Finals. Cavs will be better than last year but not as good as last years Heat team, favorites my A$$.

  18. jrs45 - Jul 12, 2014 at 5:28 AM

    The city of Cleveland and Cavs congrats. The whole country is all about you guys now. I’ve never seen anything like this.

  19. kavika6 - Jul 15, 2014 at 3:18 AM

    Morons! Will the hate for the Spurs ever end?

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