Skip to content

Danny Ainge says there are “no game changers” in this draft. In short term he’s right.

Mar 26, 2014, 3:04 PM EDT

Towson v Kansas Getty Images

The 2014 NBA Draft Class — assuming that Andrew Wiggins, Jabari Parker, Joel Embiid and the rest of the young stars declare — has been hyped as the best thing since 2003. That may turn out to be an overreaction.

After the three players mentioned above were eliminated the first weekend of the NCAA Tournament, some in the media swung the pendulum too far the other way saying these guys are not going to make a big impact in the NBA, that they couldn’t handle pressure (based on one game at age 19). That was an overreaction, too.

The real question for this draft is how good are these players going to be in three to five years? That’s what teams are drafting them for, not their rookie season.

Boston’s basketball decision maker Danny Ainge has tried to play down draft expectations for a while — which is smart as he is going to draft high this year and bring in a big name and he’d like fans not to expect instant miracles he knows are not coming.

Ainge was saying that again in a live stream video on the Celtics Web site, transcribed by CSNNE.com.

“I’ve been saying all along that the experts on ESPN and so forth are blowing this draft out of proportion,” Ainge said. “First of all, we don’t even know who’s in the draft yet. There are a lot of underclassmen that are projected, so we’re prepared for those underclassmen that are projected draft picks but we don’t know who’s going to be in the draft.

“There aren’t any game changers in the draft. There are a lot of nice players and players that we’ll be excited to work into the development, but they’re not going to come in and turn our team around in one year or two years. But hopefully we’ll be able to get a couple of players this year that will be rotation players in the NBA for years to come.”

PBT’s draft expert, Ed Isaacson of NBAdraftblog.com and Rotoworld (check out Ed’s regional previews of the EastSouthMidwest and West), agrees with Ainge. To a degree.

“I think Ainge has the concept right saying there are no ‘game changers’ in this draft, though the phrasing may be a bit broad,” Isaacson said in an email. “Guys like Wiggins, Embiid, Julius Randle, Parker, if any or all declare, will certainly have an impact on any team they play for. Depending on the team, the impact could be felt much more right away. Ainge’s explanation though of his statement gets to the part where I agree — none of the players in this draft are the kind to change the fortunes of a franchise in a year or two. Not to say that they can’t be franchise players at some point in their career, but people expecting this group to take the league by storm when they get in are probably off base.”

Again, the question isn’t “can Andrew Wiggins lead the Bucks/Sixers/Magic/whoever to the playoffs next year?” The question is can he or Embiid or whomever be a franchise cornerstone in four years? Can that player, along with a couple other pieces, make your team a contender?

In that sense there very likely will be a couple of game changers in this draft. Just don’t expect them to play that way next year. (And no, that is not argument for keeping them in college longer so colleges and coaches can get rich off their free labor, those guys will develop faster into whatever they will be in the NBA than another year of limited practices against inferior competition.)

The problem for Ainge and other GMs of lottery teams is it will be impossible to put the expectations genie back in the bottle.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: J.J. Barea leaning toward signing with Heat

    Jul 2, 2015, 1:11 AM EDT

    Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat Getty Images

    If he does, will Miami trade Mario Chalmers and/or Shabazz Napier?

  2. Report: Warriors, Draymond Green agree to five-year, $85 million deal

    Jul 1, 2015, 11:27 PM EDT

    Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors - Game One Getty Images

    The Warriors are keeping the band together — and they will be at the top of the West for a while.

  3. 76ers get Nik Stauskas, first-rounder in salary-dump trade with Kings

    Jul 1, 2015, 11:27 PM EDT

    Philadelphia 76ers v Sacramento Kings Getty Images

    Philadelphia takes Jason Thompson, Carl Landry from Sacramento

  4. Report: Pelicans finalizing deal with Omer Asik

    Jul 1, 2015, 11:04 PM EDT

    Golden State Warriors v New Orleans Pelicans Getty Images

    Asik will take some pressure off Anthony Davis

  5. Reports: Paul Pierce agrees to three-year, $10 million contract with Los Angeles Clippers

    Jul 1, 2015, 7:34 PM EDT

    Boston Celtics small forward Paul Pierce and head coach Doc Rivers react during a break in fourth quarter action against the Miami Heat in Game 2 of their NBA Eastern Conference basketball playoff series in Miami Reuters

    Would Paul Pierce agree to this if DeAndre Jordan were leaving town?

  6. Reports: Paul Millsap agrees to re-sign with Hawks for three years, $59 million

    Jul 1, 2015, 7:07 PM EDT

    Atlanta Hawks v Washington Wizards-Game Three Getty Images

    Millsap had been flirting with Orlando but chose a shorter deal in Atlanta.

  7. Report: Iman Shumpert to meet with other teams as he struggles to reach deal with Cavaliers

    Jul 1, 2015, 6:31 PM EDT

    Oklahoma City Thunder v Cleveland Cavaliers Getty Images

    He is using this to leverage the Cavaliers, but the door is open.

  8. Report: Thunder reach deal five-year, $25 million deal to keep Kyle Singler

    Jul 1, 2015, 6:07 PM EDT

    Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves Getty Images

    This is a contract the Thunder can live with or move, depending.

  9. Report: Talks between Draymond Green, Golden State Warriors break down

    Jul 1, 2015, 4:51 PM EDT

    Memphis Grizzlies v Golden State Warriors - Game Two Getty Images

    Even if another team signs him to an offer sheet, the Warriors will just match it.

  10. Report: LaMarcus Aldridge rules out Lakers in free agent decision

    Jul 1, 2015, 4:47 PM EDT

    LaMarcus Aldridge LaMarcus Aldridge

    Aldridge and Kobe Bryant didn’t quite click in their meeting.

  11. Report: Amir Johnson agrees to two-year, $24 million deal with Celtics

    Jul 1, 2015, 4:11 PM EDT

    Amir Johnson Amir Johnson

    Boston gets nice value on a short-term frontcourt upgrade.

  12. Report: Cavaliers, Tristan Thompson near five-year, $80 million contract

    Jul 1, 2015, 3:09 PM EDT

    2015 NBA Finals - Game Six Getty Images

    The road to the NBA Finals out of the East — and maybe to the Larry O’Brien trophy itself — goes through Cleveland.

Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. L. Aldridge (4456)
  2. D. Wade (4199)
  3. L. James (3399)
  4. J. Embiid (3397)
  5. K. Bryant (2870)
  1. K. Love (2806)
  2. T. Harris (2753)
  3. J. Butler (2723)
  4. G. Monroe (2560)
  5. D. Cousins (2307)