Skip to content

ProBasketballTalk 2013-14 Preview: The Portland Trail Blazers

Oct 10, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT

Hornets Trail Blazers Basketball AP

Last Season: The Blazers spent the first half of the season threatening for a playoff spot, but one of the worst benches in NBA history ultimately sunk the team’s chances. Damian Lillard‘s scoring prowess made him the fourth unanimous Rookie of the Year winner in NBA history, and it simulatenously provided hope that Portland’s current core can contend in the near future.

Signature Highlight: It feels dirty not to have a Lillard or LaMarcus Aldridge highlight here, but by golly gee, this dunk from J.J. Hickson was one of the best of the year.

Key Player Changes:

IN: Thomas Robinson, Robin Lopez, Dorell Wright, Mo Williams, C.J. McCollum, Allen Crabbe, Earl Watson

OUT: J.J. Hickson (Denver), Eric Maynor (Washington), Luke Babbitt, Jared Jeffries, Sasha Pavolvic, Ronnie Price

General manager Neil Olshey pulled off some sneaky tanking last year by cobbling together an awful bench with multiple players who won’t even play in the league this season. After hitting on Lillard in the draft, it looked like the Trail Blazers might have stolen another underrated small school grad to slot in as a scoring sixth man. Unfortunately, though, C.J. McCollum’s foot injury will keep him out of action indefinitely.

Adding Thomas Robinson was an incredibly low-risk, high-reward move, as his energy and rebounding should be a welcome sight coming off the bench. Robinson will likely never be a star, but he could carve out a solid role.

If Dorell Wright’s outside shooting returns to form, he could be a steal as a versatile 3 and D guy. Mo Williams is an extremely good shooter and a decent point guard to boot, but he needs to be hidden defensively at all times.

Robin Lopez might be the addition with the biggest impact, as his pure size should help the Blazers control the paint defensively much better than last season.

Losing J.J. Hickson doesn’t hurt nearly as much as his overall numbers would indicate. Hickson was defensive poison as a center last season, and it’s telling that the Blazers were unable to flip him for any asset while he was putting up grossly inflated stats.

Keys to Portland’s Season:

1) Can an improved bench make that much of a difference?

After running his starters into the ground by necessity last season, Terry Stotts can ease off the reins a bit and trust what should be a very capable bench. The on/off ratings for Aldridge (+9.4 points per 100 possessions) and Lillard (+9.1 points per 100 possessions) illustrate just how bad Portland’s reserve unit was last year, and the heavy minutes took a toll late in the season when the defense completely collapsed.

2) Will the defense improve?

Although he’s a plodder, Robin Lopez should plug a few more gaps in this leaky defense. Matthews is still the team’s best defender despite Batum’s reputation, but a lot of the responsibility boils down to Lillard and Aldridge, who need to stop reserving so much energy for offense and start defending pick-and-roll action better.

The Blazers finished 26th in defensive efficiency last season, so there’s certainly plenty of room for improvement here. The starting unit should be explosive, but below-average defensive teams traditionally have a much harder time making the playoffs than below-average offensive teams. The Blazers have to get better here in order to fight for the 8-seed.

3) Which unexpected source can provide the lift?

It’s time for Nic Batum to live up to his potential, as he’s the player who needs to make the biggest leap on both ends for the Blazers to truly be competitive. We know what we’re getting from LaMarcus Aldridge and Wes Matthews at this point, and it’s hard to imagine Lillard being significantly better (at least offensively) in his second year.

Perhaps Lopez or Robinson can surprise and add big contributions as well, but Batum is paid too much money to simply be a very good complementary player. The additions of an improved bench and a defensive-minded center can put the Blazers in the playoff conversation alone, but Batum’s continued development as a secondary creator (his assists shot up to 4.9 a game last year) and locked-in defender has to be there.

Why You Should Watch: Damian Lillard is the definition of smooth. Robin Lopez’s hair is the best in the business. LaMarcus Aldridge has three moves he just pairs over and over again, and no one can stop it.  Nic Batum in transition is an adventure. J.J. Hickson and his defense won’t make your eyes bleed anymore.

Prediction: 41-41 and the 9th seed. The Blazers should be able to beat out the other hapless defensive teams vying for the final playoff spot (Mavericks, Lakers), and the talent meshes better in Portland than it likely will in New Orleans. A healthy Minnesota team (oxy-moron?) is my choice for the 8th spot however, as they were much better defensively last year despite massive injuries. I need to see Portland’s defense improve drastically before I can fully believe they are a playoff team.

Latest Posts
  1. John Calipari hired someone to send NBA advanced stats of Kentucky’s players

    Sep 30, 2014, 7:20 PM EDT

    John Calipari John Calipari

    I don’t know whether this helps Kentucky’s players. It opens Calipari’s options, though.

  2. Former NBA player, current TNT analyst Kenny Smith gets reality show with family

    Sep 30, 2014, 6:28 PM EDT

    Kenny Smith Getty Images

    Now we know what show promos TNT is going to beat us over the head with during the next playoffs.

  3. ProBasketballTalk 2014-15 Preview: Miami Heat

    Sep 30, 2014, 5:44 PM EDT

    Chris Bosh Chris Bosh

    Expectations are reduced, but Miami still has the chance to be pretty a pretty good team — even without LeBron James.

  4. Dion Waiters on claim Wizards have NBA’s best backcourt: ‘That’s nonsense’

    Sep 30, 2014, 4:20 PM EDT

    Washington Wizards v Cleveland Cavaliers Getty Images

    John Wall fires back: ‘They haven’t seen a playoff game yet. When they make one they can start talking.’

  5. Mike Miller points to him being amnestied as start of LeBron James leaving Miami

    Sep 30, 2014, 2:59 PM EDT

    San Antonio Spurs v Miami Heat - Game 7 Getty Images

    Mike Miller being amnestied may have been the first domino to fall in LeBron bolting.

  6. LeBron James dealing with back pain

    Sep 30, 2014, 12:59 PM EDT

    Cleveland Cavaliers Media Day Getty Images

    LeBron could miss Cavaliers’ practice tonight

  7. Brian Shaw wants Ty Lawson to watch Peyton Manning practice, lead team

    Sep 30, 2014, 11:40 AM EDT

    Chicago Bulls v Denver Nuggets Getty Images

    Manning leads by detailed preparation and then an ability to read a defense, a good example for any point guard.

  8. Ricky Rubio with half-court alley-oop to Andrew Wiggins (VIDEO)

    Sep 30, 2014, 9:30 AM EDT

    Timberwolves New Players Getty Images

    We could see a lot more of this during the season.

  9. Byron Scott expects Kobe Bryant to score 23-24 points per game

    Sep 30, 2014, 12:15 AM EDT

    Kobe Bryant, Tony Allen Kobe Bryant, Tony Allen

    Lakers might need Kobe’s scoring, but they shouldn’t count on that much from aging star

Featured video

What players stood out at World Cup?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. L. James (3944)
  2. R. Rondo (3864)
  3. K. Bryant (3507)
  4. E. Bledsoe (2650)
  5. R. Allen (2585)
  1. D. Wade (2476)
  2. D. Williams (2327)
  3. D. Rose (2128)
  4. K. Leonard (2104)
  5. M. Smart (1931)