Skip to content

Is Greg Oden going to make a difference in Miami? The only answer is “I don’t know.”

Aug 3, 2013, 8:00 AM EST

greg_oden Getty Images

The last time Greg Oden stepped on an NBA court to take part in a game it was Dec. 5, 2009. That would be 1,337 days ago. Or, 191 weeks, if you prefer. And there is a good chance you will not see Oden at the start of next season either — he said he wasn’t sure if he’d be ready when the season tips off. His goal is to be healthy at the season’s end. That’s a good goal, but reality is this is a guy that has had seven knee surgeries and three microfracture surgeries by age 25.

All of which is to say, temper your expectations here.

If you think signing Oden to a two-year is a big improvement for Miami, you’re way, way out in front of reality. If you picture Oden swatting way a Derrick Rose shot at the rim in the second round of the playoffs next year, or bodying up Roy Hibbert in the conference finals, you may never see those images with your eyes.

Could he do those things? Maybe, if healthy.

Will he do those things? I don’t know.

Neither do you. Neither does Oden or Pat Riley or Nostradamus or anyone else. Nobody knows if his body will hold up.

Every report I heard out of his workout was that he moved pretty well and seems in good shape. Witnesses said he looks the part of an NBA player again. I hope he is, I want to see him on a court and to have some redemption. But we simply do not know how this is going to go down — maybe he is playing at Thanksgiving, maybe at Christmas, maybe All Star weekend. Maybe he plays 20 games and has to shut it down. The Heat have said they planned to ease him back into the rotation and that was attractive to Oden in making his decision. He felt the pressure was off him.

This was a gamble by the Heat, but a good one for the price tag — they are paying him the league minimum. If he pans out and can give them 12-15 solid minutes a night come the playoffs, it will be almost a steal. What he came into the league with as strengths — defense in the paint, rebounds — are things the Heat need. When he has played in the NBA, he’s played pretty well (PER through 82 games of 19.5). Matching up with size is clearly an issue for the Heat (if you watched the playoffs last year) and maybe Oden can help them deal with it.

Maybe.

But based on history, don’t put a lot of stock in it.

It is far, far too early to think of him as a difference maker. He was a good risk for a prospect big man. Nothing more.

Latest Posts
  1. Wesley Matthew’s injury will test Trail Blazers’ spacing

    Mar 6, 2015, 10:34 AM EST

    Wesley Matthews, LaMarcus Aldridge, Damian Lillard, Robin Lopez, Nicolas Batum AP

    Portland can overcome loss of shooting guard, but it won’t be easy

  2. Larry Bird talks trash about Dominique Wilkins’ statue

    Mar 6, 2015, 9:07 AM EST

    Dominique Wilkins Statue Unveiling Ceremony Getty Images

    Former Celtics star continues what he began Wilkins’ rookie year

  3. Nuggets’ Wilson Chandler on lack of ‘grownups’ on Denver roster: ‘It’s probably true’

    Mar 5, 2015, 11:00 PM EST

    Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Getty Images

    Pacers’ David West made the assertion after Denver fired head coach Brian Shaw.

  4. NBA admits James Harden was fouled in final seconds of Rockets’ loss to Grizzlies

    Mar 5, 2015, 8:00 PM EST

    Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards Getty Images

    We all saw it at the time, but the league confirmed the missed call the next day.

  5. PBT Extra: Russell Westbrook taking the NBA by storm (VIDEO)

    Mar 5, 2015, 4:45 PM EST

    Russell Westbrook Russell Westbrook

    Westbrook has had four consecutive triple-doubles.

  6. Training like the Pros: Recapping a month-long Nike Basketball workout experience

    Mar 5, 2015, 3:11 PM EST

    zoom city edit

    Recapping a month-long Nike Basketball training experience, which featured workouts run by Tim Grover, Jerry Powell and Idan Ravin — who have trained guys like Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant and LeBron James. Also includes performance reviews of Nike’s latest basketball shoes.

  7. Report: JaVale McGee can’t reach deal with Celtics

    Mar 5, 2015, 2:31 PM EST

    Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics Getty Images

    Dispute reportedly over terms of second season

  8. Craig Sager makes long-awaited return to TNT after 11-month battle with leukemia

    Mar 5, 2015, 1:36 PM EST

    Nebraska v Baylor Getty Images

    Sager will be on the sidelines for Thursday night’s Bulls-Thunder matchup.

Featured video

Is Derrick Rose the next Penny Hardaway?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. R. Westbrook (8581)
  2. K. Durant (7424)
  3. A. Davis (6274)
  4. D. Rose (6221)
  5. D. Howard (6116)
  1. K. Lowry (5974)
  2. P. George (5870)
  3. D. Cousins (5848)
  4. L. James (5469)
  5. J. Butler (5378)