Skip to content

Will the Nuggets win 57 games again? Andre Miller: ‘Naw’

Jul 17, 2013, 12:20 AM EST

Andre Miller, C.J. Watson AP

The Nuggets completed a trifecta this offseason, losing a high-end player (Andre Iguodala, who signed with the Warriors), a high-end coach (George Karl, who was fired) and a high-end executive (Masai Ujiri, who was plucked by the Raptors). It’s a disappointing follow-up to a season in which Denver won a franchise-record 57 NBA games.

Not only will the loss of three talented people likely hurt the Nuggets, the franchise’s willingness to lose three key cogs will also likely take a mental toll on those who’ve stayed.

Take Andre Miller, who was asked at 4:17 of this video whether Denver will win 57 games next season (hat tip: Kelly Dwyer of Ball Don’t Lie):

“Naw, you know that won’t happen again,” Miller said.

Ouch!

He is right, but that attitude still stings.

The 2013-14 Nuggets will likely be worse than the 2012-13 Nuggets, but that doesn’t capture the whole reason Miller is likely right. The 2012-13 Nuggets got a lot of breaks.

No team won more one-point games last season. Some might chalk that up to clutch play, but I think it’s more a matter of good fortune.

Denver got hot late in the year, closing the season on a 23-3 stretch. That type of self-perpetuating momentum doesn’t come around often, and it’s usually kick-started by some lucky breaks.

The Nuggets’ Pythagorean record was 55-27, a better indicator of their true level than their actual record of 57-25.

And a first-round loss to the sixth-seeded Warriors further indicates Denver overachieved during the regular season.

Repeat the 2012-13 season 100 times, and I bet the Nuggets fall short of 57 wins at least two thirds of the samples. But repeat the 2013-14 season 100 times, and I’m not convinced the Nuggets crack 57 wins even once.

There’s a difference between realizing your team probably can’t maintain a high level without a few lucky bounces and knowing your team can’t reach a high level of play – lucky bounces or not. Just ask Miller.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: Knicks ‘in play’ for Kevin Durant

    Jan 29, 2015, 10:19 AM EST

    2014 Summer Classic Charity Basketball Game Getty Images

    ‘Person close to Durant’ cites Thunder star’s fondness of Carmelo Anthony

  2. Dwight Howard out at least two games with swelling in his knee

    Jan 29, 2015, 9:43 AM EST

    Trevor Ariza, Dwight Howard, Patrick Beverley AP

    Rockets center requires further testing

  3. LeBron James dances to Kyrie Irving’s game-winner (video)

    Jan 29, 2015, 9:06 AM EST

    LeBron James LeBron James

    Happy times for Cavaliers. How long will they continue?

  4. One time can’t miss prospect Renardo Sidney trying to make comeback, reach NBA

    Jan 29, 2015, 8:30 AM EST

    Mississippi State v Baylor Getty Images

    Sidney is the poster child for the can’t miss prospect that missed.

  5. Five Things We Learned in NBA Wednesday: Is this rock bottom for Oklahoma City?

    Jan 29, 2015, 1:29 AM EST

    Carmelo Anthony, Russell Westbrook AP

    The Sixers, Knicks and Timberwolves win on the same day? Isn’t that one of the signs of the apocalypse?

  6. Hornets’ Kemba Walker has successful knee surgery, expected to miss a minimum of 6 weeks

    Jan 29, 2015, 12:01 AM EST

    New Orleans Pelicans v Charlotte Hornets Getty Images

    The good news is that Walker may return in as little as six weeks, which means Charlotte’s playoff chances should remain intact.

  7. George Gervin on Klay Thompson’s 37-point quarter: ‘I don’t feel he broke my record’

    Jan 28, 2015, 11:15 PM EST

    NBA All-Star Jam Session 2014 Getty Images

    The Hall of Famer held the previous record with 33 points in a period, but did so before the three-point line was implemented.

  8. NBA says Matt Barnes’ $25K fine had nothing to do with Suns owner Robert Sarver

    Jan 28, 2015, 8:50 PM EST

    Los Angeles Clippers v Phoenix Suns Getty Images

    Barnes immediately played the victim card after receiving the fine, but the NBA (and the video) say otherwise.

  9. Phil Jackson denies illegally deflating basketballs while playing for the Knicks

    Jan 28, 2015, 7:50 PM EST

    Phil Jackson, James Dolan, executive chairman of the Madison Square Garden Company AP

    “Softer but not illegal,” Jackson attempted to clarify.

  10. LeBron James out Wednesday vs. Blazers with wrist injury

    Jan 28, 2015, 7:00 PM EST

    Cleveland Cavaliers v Golden State Warriors Getty Images

    Cleveland is just 1-8 without LeBron in the lineup this season.

  11. Kobe Bryant expected to be ready for start of 2015-16 season after undergoing successful shoulder surgery

    Jan 28, 2015, 6:37 PM EST

    Phoenix Suns v Los Angeles Lakers Getty Images

    Bryant will miss the remainder of the current season, and is expected to be sidelined for nine months.

  12. J.R. Smith says he’s playing better in Cleveland because there’s less partying

    Jan 28, 2015, 6:13 PM EST

    Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons Getty Images

    One may have to work a little harder to find the late night parties in Cleveland.

  13. Bucks sign Jorge Gutierrez to 10-day contract

    Jan 28, 2015, 5:30 PM EST

    Jason Kidd AP

    Larry Sanders’ suspension allows Milwaukee to add 16th player

  14. Tayshaun Prince: “Obviously I want to be in a winning situation”

    Jan 28, 2015, 4:45 PM EST

    Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets Getty Images

    He is likely bought out if the Celtics can’t find a trade partner.

Featured video

Who should be All-Star Game reserves?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. K. Bryant (7263)
  2. C. Anthony (7000)
  3. H. Whiteside (6936)
  4. R. Rubio (6908)
  5. K. Martin (6759)
  1. D. Howard (6743)
  2. N. Batum (6485)
  3. K. Walker (6259)
  4. T. Jones (5990)
  5. D. Wade (5642)