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Report: 100 percent chance Mavericks won’t keep No. 13 pick

Jun 19, 2013, 5:33 PM EDT

O.J. Mayo, Dwight Howard

The Mavericks have made no secret about wanting to prevent the No. 13 pick from cutting into their cap room, whether that means trading the pick or drafting and stashing a player.

The idea of wasting a lottery pick, either by dumping it in an uneven trade or using it on a lesser prospect just because he agreed to defer the start of his guaranteed rookie rookie contract, seems less-than-wise at face value, but if it helps land Dwight Howard and/or Chris Paul, it’s genius.

According to Eddie Sefko of The Dallas Morning News, the Mavericks aren’t hedging their bets. They’re going all-in with using cap space rather than the draft to upgrade their team.

One source put the chances of the Mavericks having the 13th overall draft pick on their opening-day roster next season at 0 percent.

There is an 80-percent chance that the pick is traded before or, more likely, during the draft, the source said. There is at least a 15-percent chance that the pick is a foreign player who is under contract and can be left overseas for a year and not count against the Mavericks’ salary cap.

There is less than a 5 percent chance that one of the top five or six players in the draft slips to No. 13 and the Mavericks take him, knowing fully that they can jettison that valuable chip easily for future considerations.

Why is the source so certain? Perhaps, Dallas already agreed to trade the pick. Because the Mavericks traded a future first-round pick for Lamar Odom that might be transferred in 2014, they can’t trade their 2013 pick before the draft. But they can agree to trade it beforehand, select a player on behalf of another team and then make the trade official after the fact.

Or maybe Dallas has already promised a player who agreed to remain overseas for a year.

As far as the five percent chance of a top prospect drafting, a pre-arranged trade or promise could always be contingent on certain players not being available.

This could be a source overstating something that is probable but not a sure thing, or the source could know with as much certainty as he or she states because it’s already a done deal.

  1. pmx8411 - Jun 19, 2013 at 5:48 PM

    Dallas should go after CP3 and another big NOT DWIGHT CRYBABY HOWARD…..I’ll take Chris Kaman over crybaby any day…hell GIVE ME KOSTA KOUFUS…

    • asimonetti88 - Jun 19, 2013 at 8:21 PM

      If that’s how you feel, remind me to recommend you for the position next time one of my teams’ rivals has a GM search.

  2. jadaruler - Jun 19, 2013 at 5:49 PM

    They will eventually have add young talent to the core of this team. Gets old to see the Spurs, Rockets and Thunder with quality young players and the Mavs have a young guy built like Faried, but thinks he’s Glen freaking Rice on the court as their only good young player.

    Even if you they get Dwight or CP3, they still aren’t contenders with this bare, old roster.

  3. twreck13 - Jun 19, 2013 at 6:24 PM

    A young guy built like Faried??? Lol the only thing Crowder has in common with him is dreads…

  4. therealhtj - Jun 19, 2013 at 6:26 PM

    There’s a 80% chance neither Dwight Howard or Chris Paul is giving Dallas any serious consideration, but they love the attention, adulation, and free stuff they’ll be getting on their respective free agent tours.

    There’s a 15% chance they’ll go there with open minds, but ultimately be dissuaded by an aging roster, 2nd tier city, and taking less money than they can get elsewhere.

    There’s a 4.9% chance Mark Cuban already knows this and will be shooting Shark Tank that day.

    Oh yeah, there’s a .1% chance one of them signs in Dallas, but that may be generous.

    Dallas should just go ahead and use the pick on a young talent that may be of some use to them some day.

  5. twreck13 - Jun 19, 2013 at 6:32 PM

    Actually they’d pretty much make the same in Dallas as in LA… Dallas and Houston are the only ones who can offer them good money outside of their current teams. No state income tax..

  6. jadaruler - Jun 19, 2013 at 7:55 PM

    @twreck Faried is listed at 6-8 228. Crowder 6-6 235.

    I don’t see either coming. Dwight is a perfect fit in Houston and if the Clippers get the KG & Doc, CP3 is staying put.

  7. mannyfresh209 - Jun 19, 2013 at 8:15 PM

    Dwight to Houston, Houston trades Harden for CP3 in a sign-n-trade, Clippers get Doc, KG and Pierce and keep Bledsoe.

    • mannyfresh209 - Jun 19, 2013 at 8:22 PM

      Dang, Manny….imagine those lineups? KG, Blake, Pierce, Harden & Bledsoe……….. Dwight, ???, Parsons, Lin & CP3………. Oh boy LA Lakers in trouble if this goes down

    • bougin89 - Jun 20, 2013 at 10:08 AM

      No chance Harden gets traded. No chance.

      This coming from one of the guys that said the Rockets gave Harden too much money before last season. Boy was I wrong on that.

      (You can’t see it, but right now I’m inserting my foot into my mouth).

  8. somekat - Jun 20, 2013 at 2:11 PM

    I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again. This pick is destined for Philly in an Andrew Bynum sign and trade

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