Jun 11, 2013, 12:13 PM EDT
The Miami Heat just have another gear that no NBA team can match. The kind of gear that puts on a 33-5 run against a very good Spurs team in the NBA Finals.
But they have played these playoffs more like a Top Fuel dragster — they can’t sustain that level of play for an extended period of time.
That leads to the big question coming into Game 3: Which version of the Heat shows up? That question gets answered Tuesday night at 9 p.m. Eastern.
If the Heat play like the team from the final 16 minutes of Game 2, the Spurs are in a lot of trouble (really, it was more like 8 minutes of great play followed by 8 minutes of garbage time). But for the previous 80 minutes of this series San Antonio had hung right with Miami and now going home you can expect some better shooting and fewer turnovers from San Antonio.
The turnovers are the first (and one of the most obvious) keys for the Spurs — they had 4 in Game 1, 17 in Game 2. For much of this series San Antonio has done a fantastic job of getting back in transition, taking away the easy points that the Heat thrive on. But the turnover became too much and undid all that good work in Game 2. The Heat’s defensive pressure is not going away, this is on the Spurs to adjust.
“I’ll figure it out,” Tony Parker said Wednesday at morning shootaround. Okay then.
The other key is how the Spurs will adjust to dealing with the Mario Chalmers/LeBron James pick-and-roll. Miami ran it at the elbow or lower and an attacking Chalmers, plus all the threats LeBron poses, had the Spurs defense scrambling. Their rotations were a step slow and suddenly Mike Miller and Ray Allen were open for threes. Which they hit (that’s far from a given lately). There are a number of ways the Spurs can choose to deal with this, but they need to be more aggressive because the Heat picked them apart.
Expect the combo Parker, Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili to shoot better than they did in Game 2 when they were 10-of-33 as a group. The Heat defense was better but Duncan and Parker also just missed shots they normally make. You can expect those to fall at home.
Ginobili is another matter — he is 7-of-23 since Game 4 against Memphis. He lost his dribble a few times last game and just looked awful, so Gregg Popovich held him to 18 minutes. I’m not sure what is going on but he just doesn’t look right at all.
There are other factors, like who stays hot from three — Danny Green from the Spurs and Mike Miller and Ray Allen from the Heat have found their groove. Both provide some important points and floor spacing to their teams. Then there is Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh — they played better in Game 2, the Heat need more of that (particularly from Bosh)
In the end, the question remains — can the Heat hit that other gear again? If they do, what the Spurs do isn’t really going to matter much. But you know the Spurs are not going to roll over, the Heat are going to have to earn this.
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