Apr 25, 2013, 8:45 AM EDT
Tom Thibodeau has a reputation for sensibly assessing analytics, traditional scouting and other factors to create logical basketball gameplans. The Bulls coach also has a reputation for maniacally demanding his players compete until their bodies fall apart.
At first glance, Thibodeau he been nearly infallible in his third season as head coach:
- Year 1: Win Coach of the Year
- Year 2: Increase team’s winning percentage
- Year 3: Make team missing its best player competitive to win a playoff series
But many believe Chicago is missing its best player because Thibodeau overused Derrick Rose and is getting less-than-hoped production from its second-best player because Thibodeau overused Joakim Noah. The accepted logic is Thibodeau’s Achilles’ heel is a desire to win every regulars-season game no matter how much physical stress that puts on his players.
And that very well may be the case.
But, like everything else about his coaching, Thibodeau’s limits for his players are derived from what he – and the Bulls – believe to be sound logic. Joe Cowley of the Chicago Sun-Times:
Lost in the accusations about Thibodeau is that he has looked at the science — the science that’s available, at least.
Before becoming the Bulls’ coach, he was an assistant with the Boston Celtics, who were one of the first NBA franchises to
embrace basketball analytics. General manager Gar Forman is quick to point out that the Bulls have an analytics department and that minutes played in correlation with injuries is studied.
‘‘It’s hard to generalize,’’ Forman said. ‘‘Different players’ minutes will affect [things in] different ways, so it’s hard to generalize that assumption in whole. We have studied that. I mean, different body types, different years, how many years you’ve played, the age, all those things are factored in.’’
And from everything the Bulls have come up with, they are fully behind how Thibodeau hands out playing time.
‘‘In our scenario, Tom paces the team throughout the year, and we think he does a good job at that,’’ Forman said.
Like any good analyst, Thibodeau must continually re-evaluate his processes. Injury data can be very difficult to learn from, because no injury is alike, and everyone reacts differently. It could simply be bad luck how much Rose and Noah are suffering.
Thibodeau might think he’s right, and the Bulls might think he’s right (which is important, because it seemed at lease possible his insistence of giving big minutes to his players might cost him his job one day), but at a certain point, is it worth the risk? Maybe Chicago would be better off reducing the playing of time of its top players – just in case. Is the reward really worth the risk, even if the Thibodeau wisely believes he’ll be correct?
Apr 18, 2015, 8:00 AM EDT
With most 2014 conference-finalists eliminated, Warriors are clear favorite
Apr 18, 2015, 12:30 AM EDT
Their rivalry goes back until the Dwight Howard free agent recruitment. If not earlier.
Apr 17, 2015, 11:30 PM EDT
The winner in 7 games will be …
Apr 17, 2015, 10:30 PM EDT
Cuban also says of Houston: “that’s not a very good team over there.”
Apr 17, 2015, 9:30 PM EDT
Can Brooklyn win a game?
Sounds like Pacers president Larry Bird, head coach Frank Vogel don’t want Roy Hibbert back next year
Apr 17, 2015, 8:30 PM EDT
Hibbert has a player option for $15.5 million next season.
Apr 17, 2015, 7:30 PM EDT
Three PBT writers pick the Warrior to beat the Cavaliers in the Finals.
Apr 17, 2015, 6:45 PM EDT
Wesley Matthews. Arron Afflalo. Nicolas Batum. C.J. McCollum. Chris Kaman. Mike Conley. Tony Allen. All injured.
Apr 17, 2015, 6:00 PM EDT
Projection: 2016-17: $89 million; 2017-18: $108 million.
Apr 17, 2015, 5:15 PM EDT
I just think Doc Rivers the GM has tied the hands of Doc Rivers the coach too much — the Spurs versatility and depth gives Gregg Popovich more options.
Apr 17, 2015, 4:38 PM EDT
He is expected to make a full recovery.
Apr 17, 2015, 3:59 PM EDT
It’s great to see Anthony Davis on the playoff stage for the first time. Even if it doesn’t last long.
Apr 17, 2015, 3:15 PM EDT
Jazz, Bulls, Spurs, Celtics lose
Apr 17, 2015, 2:33 PM EDT
Cavaliers in 5
Apr 17, 2015, 1:48 PM EDT
Warriors in 6
Apr 17, 2015, 1:11 PM EDT
Four of five first-team spots are unanimous
Apr 17, 2015, 12:28 PM EDT
Portland’s health and Memphis’ size are a bad match.
Apr 17, 2015, 11:53 AM EDT
Wizards guard played for Donovan in college
Apr 17, 2015, 11:11 AM EDT
That may be true, but he’s still likely to stick in Portland
Apr 17, 2015, 10:35 AM EDT
The 3-1 edge goes to…
- Why the 2015 NBA playoffs feel wide open – but probably shouldn’t 0
- PBT Extra: Houston, Dallas simply do not like each other 1
- Sounds like Pacers president Larry Bird, head coach Frank Vogel don’t want Roy Hibbert back next year 20
- PBT staff playoff predictions: Lots of Golden State love from us 1
- PBT Extra: Injuries make Grizzlies, Trail Blazers series hard to predict 3
- PBT Extra: Will Spurs depth, versatility prove too much for Clippers? 10
- PBT Extra: Anthony Davis, Pelicans made playoffs. Will they get a fifth game vs. Warriors? 6
- Rumor: LaMarcus Aldridge more likely to leave Trail Blazers in free agency than people realize 23