Apr 16, 2013, 2:02 AM EDT
We’re going to be talking about who gets in the playoffs — and what seed they are going to be —down to the final games on the final day of the regular season.
It’s all because on Monday night the Utah Jazz beat the Minnesota Timberwolves, the struggling Suns upset the Rockets, and Golden State defeated a shorthanded San Antonio team.
And that doesn’t even get into the battle between the Clippers and Grizzlies for home court in the first round.
Let me try to explain this simply (but stay with me, it’s not simple): The games you need to watch on Wednesday are the Lakers vs. Rockets; Grizzlies vs. Jazz; Clippers at Sacramento; and Golden State vs. Portland. Here are the possible outcomes:
• If the Lakers beat the Rockets Wednesday, the Lakers are in and the Jazz are out of the playoffs no matter what they do. Also, with a win the Lakers leapfrog the Rockets (Los Angeles would have the tiebreaker) — the Lakers would be the seven seed, Houston the eight, Golden State the six seed.
• If the Rockets beat the Lakers, then the Jazz can claim the eight seed by beating the Grizzlies. Also, if the Rockets win and Golden State loses to Portland the Rockets would become the six seed, the Warriors the seven seed, and the Lakers or Jazz the eight seed.
• Denver, with a hard-fought 112-111win over Milwaukee, just needs to beat Phoenix Wednesday to be the three seed. The win over the Bucks Monday secured home court in the first round for Denver (they are 37-3 there on the season) but they don’t know who they will face. If the Clippers lose another game the Nuggets are the three seed.
• We do know the Memphis Grizzlies are locked into the five seed thanks to Denver’s win and the Clippers being a division winner (meaning they can be no lower than a four seed). However, Memphis could still have a better record than the Clippers and have home court in the first round against Los Angeles. To do that the Grizzlies need to beat the Jazz (if Utah loses they are eliminated from the playoffs) and the Clippers would need to split their two remaining games — Tuesday in Portland, and at Sacramento Wednesday. If the Clippers win both, they have home court.
So, we’re all clear now, right?
At least in the West the top is now locked in. So at least something got settled Monday.
Oklahoma City played Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook against the Sacramento Kings and the result was a 104-95 win that locked up the top seed for the Thunder. They have home court through the West (Miami would have home court if they meet in the NBA finals again). That means the Spurs are the two seed, locked in.
Out East there is only one question: Is Chicago or Atlanta the five seed and will face the Nets in the first round? The loser in that race is the six seed and gets Indiana.
Atlanta can hold the five seed if they beat Toronto on Tuesday and the Knicks on Wednesday. But lose one of those games, and then if the Bulls can beat the Wizards, then the Bulls would get the five seed — the two teams would be tied but the Bulls have the tiebreak having won the season series. I can promise you the Nets and Pacers each would rather take on the Hawks than the scrappy, hard-to-knock-off Bulls.