Skip to content

Maybe you shouldn’t expect Al Jefferson to be a Spur

Feb 7, 2013, 11:45 AM EDT

Utah Jazz v Dallas Mavericks Getty Images

Yesterday we brought you the report from Chris Sheridan that the San Antonio Spurs were way out in front of the pack in terms of trading for Al Jefferson of the Utah Jazz.

The move has some logic — Jefferson is in the last year of his deal, he’s a better player than Tiago Splitter (the guy reportedly part of the package headed to Salt Lake) and if the Spurs are serious about a title run this season Jefferson helps that cause.

But it’s probably not going to happen, says Dan McCarney at the San Antonio Express-News. And he’s got some really solid reasons why.

1. Jefferson is more expensive. While Splitter is set to enjoy a nice payday this summer, it’s doubtful he’ll approach the $14 million Jefferson is due this season. Considering he’s still only 28, Jefferson will likely be searching for something close to that on the open market after averaging at least 16 points and nine rebounds over the past seven seasons.

2. Jefferson is primarily a low-post scorer who doesn’t fit nearly as well as Splitter does with the Spurs’ pick-and-roll heavy offense. He’s effective, scoring 1.1 points per pick-and-roll play to rank 24th in the NBA per Synergy Sports. But he’s involved in such plays on only 8.4 percent of his possessions. Splitter, in contrast, ranks second with 1.39 points per play on 29.1 percent of his possessions.

3. Various other measures indicate Splitter is a better defensive player. The opportunity to play alongside Tim Duncan is a huge reason why. But not only does Jefferson yield more points per possession according to Synergy, the Jazz allow almost 10 points more per 100 possessions when he’s on the court.

4. Can you see the Spurs, who value consistency and continuity like no other franchise in the NBA, executing such a major trade in the midst of a campaign in which they’ve got the league’s best record with a home-heavy schedule over the second half?

To me, numbers one and four are key. Splitter is playing well, playing well within their system and he costs less now and going forward. Are the additional costs and risks really worth the talent upgrade from Splitter to Jefferson? I think if you answered yes to that question you haven’t watched a lot of Splitter this season, he’s playing well.

Besides, if the Spurs and Jazz do a deal it will come out of left field — these are the two tightest-lipped organizations in the game. There will not be leaks, it will just happen and we’ll find out when the league office does.

Still, expect Jefferson or Paul Millsap to get moved somewhere at the deadline.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: Mickael Pietrus works out for Kings

    Sep 18, 2014, 10:46 PM EDT

    Toronto Raptors v Portland Trail Blazers

    Pietrus sat out all of last season.

  2. Report: Gary Payton to assume role of ‘special advisor’ for Giannis Antetokounmpo

    Sep 18, 2014, 9:31 PM EDT

    Gary Payton, John Stockton AP

    Looks like Bucks head coach Jason Kidd is serious about making Antetokounmpo into a point guard.

  3. Nick Young tells Laker rookies to call him “Daddy Swag”

    Sep 18, 2014, 5:51 PM EDT

    Nick Young AP

    I like the idea of calling him “scrappy feet” better.

  4. Report: Timberwolves “optimistic” about Ricky Rubio extension, except nowhere close on money

    Sep 18, 2014, 4:25 PM EDT

    BKN-NBA-TWOLVES-LAKERS Getty Images

    Expect Rubio to be a restricted free agent next summer, and he may not enjoy that experience.

  5. 67RIEFNS No. 5: Victor Oladipo playing shooting guard

    Sep 18, 2014, 2:55 PM EDT

    Orlando Magic v New York Knicks Orlando Magic v New York Knicks

    After a year at point guard, Oladipo should thrive for Magic this season

  6. Kevin Durant has grown close with Karl Malone

    Sep 18, 2014, 1:40 PM EDT

    Kevin Durant, Karl Malone Kevin Durant, Karl Malone

    Not an expected pairing, but they can relate

  7. Gregg Popovich: Heat got overconfident in NBA Finals

    Sep 18, 2014, 1:00 PM EDT

    LeBron James, Chris Bosh, Dwyane Wade LeBron James, Chris Bosh, Dwyane Wade

    Spurs coach seeking sources of motivation so his team won’t repeat the letdown

  8. Coach K on those who believed he orchestrated Paul George photo: “You are a bad person’

    Sep 18, 2014, 12:18 PM EDT

    Team USA Showcase Getty Images

    Team USA coach Mike Krzyzewski defends himself after Adrian Wojnarowski paints him as opportunistic recruiter

  9. Report: NBA sleeved jerseys not selling well

    Sep 18, 2014, 11:39 AM EDT

    Miami Heat v Los Angeles Lakers Getty Images

    How much longer will NBA keep pushing them?

  10. Report: Timberwolves readying to buy out J.J. Barea

    Sep 18, 2014, 11:00 AM EDT

    Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Clippers Minnesota Timberwolves v Los Angeles Clippers

    After signing Glenn Robinson III, Minnesota has too many guaranteed contracts

  11. Jordan Crawford signs in China

    Sep 18, 2014, 9:30 AM EDT

    Jordan Crawford, Jarrett Jack Jordan Crawford, Jarrett Jack

    Last season, Celtics traded Crawford to Warriors, who were unsatisfied with his play

  12. Joakim Noah throws better first pitch at Cubs game

    Sep 18, 2014, 8:30 AM EDT

    Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs Getty Images

    Bulls center didn’t fare quite as well at White Sox game

Featured video

What players stood out at World Cup?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. D. Rose (2862)
  2. L. James (2489)
  3. K. Irving (2233)
  4. R. Rondo (2115)
  5. K. Bryant (2097)
  1. J. Valanciunas (1968)
  2. D. Ferry (1902)
  3. R. Gay (1771)
  4. N. Batum (1704)
  5. D. Favors (1614)