Skip to content

Who will be the No. 1 pick next draft? Good question.

Nov 20, 2012, 1:39 PM EST

Shabazz Muhammad Getty Images

If you asked your Magic 8 Ball who the No. 1 pick in the next draft would be, the answer would come up “Reply hazy, try again.”

DraftExpress has UCLA’s Shabazz Muhammad as the top pick as of right now, but after the NCAA was done enforcing its archaic and inconsistent sense of justice, he went out in his debut Monday night and looked overwhelmed against Georgetown. Well, what he really looked like is a 19-year-old in his first college game against an athletic opponent — it’s an adjustment. His defense wasn’t impressive. He still had 15 points on 5-of-10 shooting, but he did not stand out. As Rob Dauster said at our sister CollegeBasketballTalk blog, it’s too early to rush to judgment.

But one thing that is clear is that there is no clear-cut No. 1 overall pick as of right now. After a few drafts where there wasn’t any real debate about the top spot in the draft (Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving were pretty clear choices) there could be some debate this year.

Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports spoke to some scouts and GMs about this draft and heard teams are interested to see how players develop over the course of this college season.

Muhammad has constructed his pre-college reputation on how fiercely he competes on the floor, how he uses that explosive and chiseled 6-foot-6 frame inside and outside. “His greatest talent is his competitiveness,” said an assistant GM who spent several days watching Muhammad in national team practices at the Hoop Summit in the spring. “He’s relentless. But does he have the skill level to be the No. 1 pick? I still need to see that out of him….”

As one assistant GM of a likely lottery team said, “Whoever is the No. 1 pick, he’ll play himself into it this year. I don’t think it will ever be a clear-cut choice.”

As one Western Conference executive was leaving Barclays on Monday night, he knew he’d have to see Shabazz Muhammad over and over this season. After watching Zeller and Muhammad, he did have a suspicion about this spring’s draft. “I think you’re going to see a team who gets that first overall pick who will seriously think about trading down and moving out of it.”

DraftExpress’ top five rounds out with Kentucky’s Nerlens Noel at No. 2, Indiana’s Cody Zeller at No. 3, international prospect Rudy Gobert at No. 4 and North Carolina’s James McAdoo at No. 5. (I saw McAdoo play in person last week and there is a lot of potential there, fantastic athlete and showed a little midrange game, but I wanted to see more aggressiveness.)

Muhammad has played one game and could blossom, he sounds a lot like a Michael Kidd-Gilchrist type of hustle player. A guy whose drive turns his good skills into something more. But we will have to see about him, and Noel and the rest.

This should be fun, because for once the top of the draft board does not seem like a foregone conclusion.

Latest Posts
  1. Hornets coach Steve Clifford: Lance Stephenson not a star

    Nov 27, 2014, 2:00 PM EST

    Clifford has benched Stephenson for consecutive fourth quarters

  2. Gerald Green goes dunk-for-dunk… with himself (video)

    Nov 27, 2014, 12:30 PM EST

    Gerald Green, Timofey Mozgov, Alonzo Gee Gerald Green, Timofey Mozgov, Alonzo Gee

    Suns guard drives for reverse slam, cuts for monstrous alley-oop

  3. Report: Wizards willing to give Bradley Beal max contract extension if necessary

    Nov 27, 2014, 8:00 AM EST

    Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards Cleveland Cavaliers v Washington Wizards

    Beal’s max extension projects to pay more than $118 million over five years

  4. PBT’s Wednesday NBA Winners/Losers: Ettore Messina making history for Spurs

    Nov 27, 2014, 1:37 AM EST

    Indiana Pacers v San Antonio Spurs Indiana Pacers v San Antonio Spurs

    LeBron James and the Cavaliers were good, Chase Budinger had the flub.

  5. Oklahoma City waives Sebastian Telfair

    Nov 27, 2014, 12:28 AM EST

    Utah Jazz v Oklahoma City Thunder Getty Images

    Ish Smith will stay on the roster.

  6. LeBron James, Cavaliers have kind of game they need to replicate blowing out Wizards

    Nov 27, 2014, 12:01 AM EST

    Dion Waiters, Kevin Seraphin, Rasual Butler Dion Waiters, Kevin Seraphin, Rasual Butler

    If the Cavs can defend like that on a regular basis they will be far more dangerous.

  7. Adam Silver on if league would do anything about Sixers: “Step in and do what?”

    Nov 26, 2014, 9:15 PM EST

    He also talks Milwaukee, doing away with conferences.

  8. Gregg Popovich to miss game following ‘minor medical procedure’

    Nov 26, 2014, 8:15 PM EST

    Gregg Popovich Gregg Popovich

    With Popovich out, Ettore Messina takes over Spurs

  9. James Harden throws pass through Amar’e Stoudemire’s legs (video)

    Nov 26, 2014, 7:00 PM EST

    New York Knicks v Houston Rockets Getty Images

    Harden shifts defensive-woes attention onto Knicks forward

  10. Kyrie Irving wants to take on bigger defensive role, challenge top point guards

    Nov 26, 2014, 4:59 PM EST

    John Wall, Kyrie Irving John Wall, Kyrie Irving

    You have to like that he wants to step up, but based on history, a lot of top point guards in the league just started drooling.

  11. Report: Knicks worried Carmelo Anthony’s back issue may be season-long concern

    Nov 26, 2014, 1:15 PM EST

    Carmelo Anthony Carmelo Anthony

    Anthony was in severe pain after suffering back spasms on Monday against the Rockets.

Featured video

Could Sixers be worst team in NBA history?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. D. Rose (8793)
  2. D. Wade (7165)
  3. K. Durant (6634)
  4. D. Howard (6607)
  5. P. Gasol (5924)
  1. K. Martin (5597)
  2. T. Jones (5419)
  3. R. Westbrook (5251)
  4. T. Harris (5148)
  5. G. Hill (4922)