Skip to content

Who will be the No. 1 pick next draft? Good question.

Nov 20, 2012, 1:39 PM EDT

Shabazz Muhammad Getty Images

If you asked your Magic 8 Ball who the No. 1 pick in the next draft would be, the answer would come up “Reply hazy, try again.”

DraftExpress has UCLA’s Shabazz Muhammad as the top pick as of right now, but after the NCAA was done enforcing its archaic and inconsistent sense of justice, he went out in his debut Monday night and looked overwhelmed against Georgetown. Well, what he really looked like is a 19-year-old in his first college game against an athletic opponent — it’s an adjustment. His defense wasn’t impressive. He still had 15 points on 5-of-10 shooting, but he did not stand out. As Rob Dauster said at our sister CollegeBasketballTalk blog, it’s too early to rush to judgment.

But one thing that is clear is that there is no clear-cut No. 1 overall pick as of right now. After a few drafts where there wasn’t any real debate about the top spot in the draft (Anthony Davis and Kyrie Irving were pretty clear choices) there could be some debate this year.

Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo Sports spoke to some scouts and GMs about this draft and heard teams are interested to see how players develop over the course of this college season.

Muhammad has constructed his pre-college reputation on how fiercely he competes on the floor, how he uses that explosive and chiseled 6-foot-6 frame inside and outside. “His greatest talent is his competitiveness,” said an assistant GM who spent several days watching Muhammad in national team practices at the Hoop Summit in the spring. “He’s relentless. But does he have the skill level to be the No. 1 pick? I still need to see that out of him….”

As one assistant GM of a likely lottery team said, “Whoever is the No. 1 pick, he’ll play himself into it this year. I don’t think it will ever be a clear-cut choice.”

As one Western Conference executive was leaving Barclays on Monday night, he knew he’d have to see Shabazz Muhammad over and over this season. After watching Zeller and Muhammad, he did have a suspicion about this spring’s draft. “I think you’re going to see a team who gets that first overall pick who will seriously think about trading down and moving out of it.”

DraftExpress’ top five rounds out with Kentucky’s Nerlens Noel at No. 2, Indiana’s Cody Zeller at No. 3, international prospect Rudy Gobert at No. 4 and North Carolina’s James McAdoo at No. 5. (I saw McAdoo play in person last week and there is a lot of potential there, fantastic athlete and showed a little midrange game, but I wanted to see more aggressiveness.)

Muhammad has played one game and could blossom, he sounds a lot like a Michael Kidd-Gilchrist type of hustle player. A guy whose drive turns his good skills into something more. But we will have to see about him, and Noel and the rest.

This should be fun, because for once the top of the draft board does not seem like a foregone conclusion.

Latest Posts
  1. Hawks’ Thabo Sefolosha says police incident damaged his reputation

    May 29, 2015, 10:00 PM EDT

    Thabo Sefolosha AP

    Sefolosha suffered a leg fracture during a police incident that kept him from participating in the playoffs.

  2. Suns shake up their coaching staff

    May 29, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT

    Phoenix Suns v Sacramento Kings Getty Images

    Jeff Hornacek remains in charge, but there has been some shuffling among his assistants.

  3. PBT Extra: Houston Rockets face interesting off-season

    May 29, 2015, 7:01 PM EDT

    Dallas Mavericks v Houston Rockets - Game One Getty Images

    There are questions about the future of Josh Smith, Patrick Beverley and others with the team.

  4. LeBron James on how to slow Stephen Curry: “The same way you slow me down … You can’t.”

    May 29, 2015, 6:15 PM EDT

    OAKLAND, CA - FEBRUARY 12:  Stephen Curry #30 of the Golden State Warriors goes in for a layup over LeBron James #6 of the Miami Heat at ORACLE Arena on February 12, 2014 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) Getty Images

    The two most popular players in the NBA this season (with Kevin Durant out) go head-to-head on the NBA’s biggest stage.

  5. PBT Extra with NBASavant.com: Cleveland may want to cover Curry in the left corner

    May 29, 2015, 5:29 PM EDT

    Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors - Game Five Getty Images

    Cleveland’s defense has looked better in the playoffs than it has all season, but starting next Thursday it will get the biggest test it has had all season.

  6. It’s official: Scott Skiles hired as head coach of Orlando Magic

    May 29, 2015, 4:53 PM EDT

    150523_skiles Getty Images

    Skiles is a former Magic player from 1989 through 1994.

  7. Cookin’ with the Currys, guest-starring Riley Curry (video)

    May 29, 2015, 4:30 PM EDT

    Stephen Curry Stephen Curry

    Ayesha Curry cooks, Stephen Curry tastes, and Riley Curry points out raspberry-sauce spills

  8. PBT Podcast: Talking Thibodeau/Bulls divorce; future for Rockets, Hawks

    May 29, 2015, 3:45 PM EDT

    Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers - Game Two Getty Images

    Would hiring Thibodeau really a wise call by the Pelicans?

  9. Warriors’ Klay Thompson officially diagnosed with concussion

    May 29, 2015, 3:09 PM EDT

    Klay Thompson Klay Thompson

    The NBA needs to review this process going forward.

  10. Klay Thompson should not have been cleared to return to Game 5 after concussion evaluation

    May 29, 2015, 2:14 PM EDT

    Klay Thompson Klay Thompson

    Warriors guard passed, but not enough time had passed to determine his health

  11. Rumor: Thunder promised to draft Cameron Payne No. 14

    May 29, 2015, 12:43 PM EDT

    Cameron Payne, Reece Chamberlain AP

    Believable, but is that why it’s believed?

  12. Report: Cavaliers could activate Anderson Varejao in NBA Finals if necessary

    May 29, 2015, 12:04 PM EDT

    Chicago Bulls v Cleveland Cavaliers - Game One Getty Images

    Varejao was slated to miss the entire season with an Achilles tear

  13. Dwight Howard suspended one game after foul switcheroo

    May 29, 2015, 11:17 AM EDT

    Dwight Howard, Klay Thompson Dwight Howard, Klay Thompson

    NBA gives Rockets center a flagrant foul, rescinds technical fouls for him and Andrew Bogut

  14. Report: Magic could hire Scott Skiles as soon as today

    May 29, 2015, 10:54 AM EDT

    NEW YORK, NY - MARCH 26:  Head coach Scott Skiles of the Milwaukee Bucks looks on against the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden on March 26, 2012 in New York City. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Chris Chambers/Getty Images) *** Local Caption *** Scott Skiles Getty Images

    Contract negotiations reportedly ongoing

Did Chicago do the right thing in firing Thibodeau?

Despite ending, Hawks had season to remember
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. S. Curry (8156)
  2. K. Love (5916)
  3. K. Irving (5647)
  4. L. James (4396)
  5. K. Korver (4305)
  1. K. Bryant (3690)
  2. A. Varejao (3622)
  3. D. Howard (3600)
  4. K. Durant (3595)
  5. M. Speights (3326)