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Draft-day trades are coming, which ones are most likely?

Jun 25, 2012, 7:59 AM EDT

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More than any year in recent memory, it feels like we are going to see a lot of trades, a lot of moves in the days, hours and minutes leading up to the draft.

While the consensus may be this a deep draft, some teams are willing to move to out while other teams are looking to move up. Plus, there are players (many bringing cash savings) on the market to get those picks.

Predicting future trades is about like predicting what Charlie Sheen will do next, but we can give you a few things to look for (with trades… not Sheen).

• Charlotte Bobcats and the No. 2 overall pick. From the seconds after the lottery put the Hornets on top of the draft pile, there have been rumors and reports of the Bobcats shopping the No. 2 pick. Even the Bobcats coach said making a trade makes sense for them. This rumor is picking up steam but don’t expect them to drop far — Charlotte reportedly doesn’t want to drop out of the lottery and wants a good young player in return or more picks. The Bobcats are getting calls but the most likely option appears to be the Cavaliers giving the Bobcats the No. 4 and No. 24 pick for the No. 2 (because the Cavaliers really want Bradley Beal of Florida and Washington will take him at No. 3 for sure). Maybe another deal jumps in front of this one, but it’s out there.

• Sacramento Kings and the No. 5 pick. This feels likely to happen, and maybe with the Rockets, but it will be a draft-night move. The Kings are willing to trade that pick and if someone is high on, say, Andre Drummond and he drops to No. 5 there could well be a deal. As ESPN noted, the Kings brought in a lot of guys for workouts who should be drafted in the teens. It’s a sign they are looking at what they could get if they have to make a trade.

Toronto Raptors and the No. 8 pick. They might as well have a KMart blue light special light going off over their pick. (Does KMart still do blue light specials?)

• Houston Rockets have made one trade and more are coming. The Houston Rockets have already made one trade, moving forward Chase Budinger for the No. 18 pick. That gives the Rockets the No. 14, No. 16 and No. 18 picks as well as some guys they could trade (Kyle Lowry, Kevin Martin, Samuel Dalembert) as they head into draft night. Their goal is to get a couple picks in the top 10 then turn around and try to parlay those picks and a player or two to Orlando for Dwight Howard. If the Magic aren’t dealing (and they appear not to be, yet) then watch for a deal for Josh Smith from Atlanta.

• Portland moves picks No. 6 and No. 11 to move up in draft. All sorts of discussion of this and if they love a player a little higher — or get a good veteran to just move a pick — they would do it. New GM Neil Olshey is not afraid to gamble.

• Lakers or some other team without pick moves into late first round. If you want a pick and don’t have one, there are a whole lot of picks available in the 20s, according to reports. The Lakers reportedly have interest, the question becomes what is the price? Outside their bigs, the Lakers are not loaded with assets people want.

• Dwight Howard trade… nah. Not in a draft-day deal. Not yet. Despite how hard the Rockets push reports are new GM Rob Hennigan has not even met with Howard yet. But I bet you see Howard’s moved this summer.

Luol Deng or Joakim Noah from Bulls. There is a lot of buzz about the Bulls moving Deng to get into the lottery, but I don’t see it as floated out there just to get picks and cap space. The Bulls are contenders and while they would love to lower their payroll (what team owner wouldn’t?) they are not going to hurt the roster just to make a move. There would have to be a veteran that could help the Bulls coming back to them with the pick.

Andre Iguodala trade. As with some other rumors here it would be a surprise, but they have been shopping him off and on for years and eventually someone will bite.

Lamar Odom trade. This would be a purely financial move for a team looking to save a few bucks — Odom is set to make more than $8 million but can be bought out for $2.4 million. If nobody trades for Odom, the Mavs will buy him out to get the cap space.

  1. 1972wasalongtimeago - Jun 25, 2012 at 8:16 AM

    The important question is not about draft day trades. The real question is which Heat member is going to go Mark Madsen at today’s championship parade and do something that he might think is cool while the rest of society finds completely hysterical. The odds on favorite of course is Battier, but there’s chance Gabby Union could absolutely steal the show. We’ll see.

    Draft day trades…..please. Unless you’re trading for LeBron or Kevin Durant, it doesn’t really matter does it?

    • packersareandwillalwaysbebetterthanthebears - Jun 25, 2012 at 8:28 AM

      Yes, it does really matter, because a team of Deron Williams, Dirk and Dwight Howard would destroy the precious Miami Heat in a 7 game series.

      • juanandonly24 - Jun 25, 2012 at 9:08 AM

        Too bad that team isn’t possible…Unless you see a team with Dwight Howard and Deron Williams and virtually no bench beating the Heat.

      • packersareandwillalwaysbebetterthanthebears - Jun 25, 2012 at 10:18 AM

        Are you kidding me? I’m sure if the Lakers can steal Pau Gasol for nothing, Mark Cuban has a chance to somehow create a multiple team trade for Dwight Howard. Not guaranteeing it, but it is all possible. And that team would dominate the Heat. They would force Joel Anthony back onto the court to guard Howard and with Anthony and Bosh down low the paint would be too crowded most of time for LeBron to post up. Basically, Howard would help neutralize either Bosh or LeBron by just being there.

      • knightrider1755 - Jun 25, 2012 at 11:25 AM

        That’s hilarious!

      • irishfan109 - Jun 25, 2012 at 11:31 AM

        packersareandwillalwaysbebetterthanthebears,

        ‘If the Lakers can steal Pau Gasol for nothing” ?

        The Grizzlies got Marc Gasol in that trade who is an all-star center that averages only 2 ppg and 1 rpg less than Pau, while averaging more assists and blocks. They also got Darrell Arthur who before last season, finished 2nd in the Most Improved Player voting and they also shed $18 million (Pau’s current salary) which allowed them to keep their core players together for years to come (Marc, Rudy, Conley, Z-Bo).

        So yeah, I think they did pretty well in the trade. Whereas the Lakers every year are at the center of trade rumors because things just aren’t working out.

      • miamatt - Jun 25, 2012 at 3:18 PM

        That’s a joke. I’d love to see Dallas do it, though, so the Heat can set things right and earn a 2-1 edge in all-time Finals match-ups.

        Lebron James is light years ahead of anybody in your mythical Dallas trio, and Bosh came so far in these playoffs post-injury. The Miami frontcourt would dominate Dallas in the paint and that would be the difference.

        I say bring it on!

  2. loungefly74 - Jun 25, 2012 at 8:23 AM

    Draft day…a day where a team can change it’s fortunes with savy moves…gotta love it. I think teams will be more agressive this year as the article suggests (after seeing the “draft-built” Thunder and “F.A. darling” Heat make the Finals). As an NBA fan, I’m hoping a team like the Pacers or Grizzlies make some strong moves to get over the hump as they seem to be getting closer to greatness…maybe just a player or 2 away. As a Laker fan…well…I am a big fan of magic tricks, hopefully they can pull a rabbit out of their “you know what”…

  3. bparmalee - Jun 25, 2012 at 9:17 AM

    I just hope my Pacers can sell Golden State or Toronto on Granger. Granger has been great but he is starting to slide… not to mention George is getting better. Also if the Bobcats can get Lowery and the 14th or 16th how do they not do that? They need to screw the Kings and take Drummond if the Rockets are that desperate for him. Draft Drummond…. send ransom note…. then pray Bobcats.

    • loungefly74 - Jun 25, 2012 at 10:33 AM

      your Pacers are very close. With the right moves…they can move up to the #2 spot in the East rankings. (the Heat being #1 due to their title) they need to keep the foot on the gas pedal. so many times have we seen teams come close and then blow it by letting good guys go or draft poorly…and the “window” closes.

      • bparmalee - Jun 25, 2012 at 1:24 PM

        The problem with my Pacers is we don’t have a dependable go to guy. Granger can be injury prone and inconsistent and Hibbert shrinks at times. The fact is the Pacers can’t attract top tier free agents so the only way we can hope to get a star caliber player is to get lucky in the draft. The reality is being #2 in the East doesn’t really get you a whole lot so if we could get the right trade for Granger I hope they take it. Without a top end player it’s almost impossible to really compete.

      • loungefly74 - Jun 25, 2012 at 1:37 PM

        my logic is there is a lot to be positive about with the Pacers. They kinda have a “2004 Pistons” feel to them…no superstar but a squad full of glue/role players/high IQ guys. don’t be so down on them man…you should be happy!

  4. supaherolife - Jun 25, 2012 at 11:38 AM

    why would you think Dallas cant pull it off Orlando has to take whatever Dallas offers no matter what or they lose him for nothing next year…. to say dallas would have no bench the Heat have no bench so its do able and Dwight Deron and Dirk tge triple D’s would kill Miami

  5. 1historian - Jun 26, 2012 at 3:52 PM

    Celts have #21 & #22 and Danny boy ain’t afraid to do things

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