Skip to content

Lots of lottery odds to be decided last week of season, too

Apr 23, 2012, 5:03 PM EDT

Final Four - Louisville v Kentucky Getty Images

We keep talking about the teams talking playoffs — who gets home court, Boston or Atlanta, or can Phoenix catch Utah and get the last spot in the West — but there is a tight race among teams who have long forgotten about the playoffs.

A lot of lottery odds are still to be decided this week as teams are bunched up near the bottom. A lot of team’s chances of landing Anthony Davis or taking a risk on Andre Drummond ride on this week.

Make no mistake, the Bobcats will clear and away have the best lottery odds. Thanks to their historically bad 7-56 record, they will have a 25 percent chance at the top spot and Davis. Washington (17-46) will finish second worst and have a 19.9 percent chance of winning the lottery. The matchup of Washington and Charlotte will have no meaning on this, it will just be hard for the rest of us to watch.

But after that it gets interesting.

New Orleans is third worst as I write this at 20-44 but then comes Sacramento (21-43), Cleveland (21-42), New Jersey (22-42) and Toronto (22-42) all within two games of each other. The Warriors are 23-41 and just one game back of the Nets and Raptors. They have a handy chart of all this at the Plain Dealer.

It matters if you are in tank mode — as it stands right now the Hornets would have a 15.6 percent chance of winning the top pick, the Raptors 4.3 percent. The odds drop off pretty steeply, and teams like some of the guys at the top of this draft a lot. Here is how the Plain Dealer describes it with the focus on Cleveland (for obvious reasons).

Losing out could move Cleveland ahead of Sacramento and New Orleans and into the third slot. That would give the Cavs a 15.6 percent chance of picking No. 1 and a 46.9 percent chance of picking somewhere in the top three.

Winning out could drop the Cavs below New Jersey, Toronto and Golden State and into a tie for eighth with Detroit. Losing the tiebreaker would put Cleveland ninth, with only a 1.7 percent chance of drafting No. 1 and just a 6.1 percent chance of picking somewhere in the top three.

There’s going to be some shifting at the bottom of the standings this week, too, and it may be as interesting to watch as at the top. Well, almost.

Latest Posts
  1. Record 45 current NBA players to compete in FIBA World Cup

    Aug 29, 2014, 11:15 PM EDT

    Pau Gasol and Marc Gasol (R) watch as th Getty Images

    Tournament features a record 75 players who have played in the NBA at some point, and we have the complete list.

  2. Chris Paul discusses his signature shoe, hoops with media at launch of his Jordan Brand CP3 VIII (VIDEO)

    Aug 29, 2014, 9:45 PM EDT

    101_Chris Paul Unveils Jordan CP3.VIII

    Chris Paul is way more into sneakers than you are, and articulated it well at the launch of his latest signature shoe in New York earlier this week.

  3. Report: Spurs interested in Mexico’s Gustavo Ayon

    Aug 29, 2014, 8:15 PM EDT

    ayon bucks Getty Images

    Ayon has played for four teams in three NBA seasons, and currently only has offers to play overseas next year.

  4. Iman Shumpert scares people (video)

    Aug 29, 2014, 4:15 PM EDT

    Iman Shumpert, Trevor Ariza Iman Shumpert, Trevor Ariza

    Knicks wing acts as security guard in prank

  5. 67RIEFNS No. 1: Tom Thibodeau managing his bigs

    Aug 29, 2014, 3:33 PM EDT

    Chicago Bulls v Los Angeles Lakers Getty Images

    Bulls have Joakim Noah, Pau Gasol, Taj Gibson and Nikola Mirotic

  6. Jerry Colangelo: Team USA ‘by far’ better than 2010 squad that won gold

    Aug 29, 2014, 2:47 PM EDT

    Team USA Showcase Getty Images

    Colangelo touts Anthony Davis, James Harden, Stephen Curry, Derrick Rose, Rudy Gay

  7. Clippers will stretch Miroslav Raduljica, too

    Aug 29, 2014, 2:00 PM EDT

    Miroslav Raduljica, Omri Casspi, Donatas Motiejunas Miroslav Raduljica, Omri Casspi, Donatas Motiejunas

    By also stretching Carlos Delfino, Clippers can sign four veterans to minimum contracts

  8. Derrick Rose knows injury questions will keep coming. And coming. And coming.

    Aug 29, 2014, 1:15 PM EDT

    Derrick Rose, Anderson Varejao, Raulzinho Neto Derrick Rose, Anderson Varejao, Raulzinho Neto

    The truth is limited games in an unusual setting don’t provide real answers to how Rose is feeling or will do down the line. What you think this says about Rose really says more about what you think of Rose’s future than anything else.

  9. FIBA World Cup preview: USA, Spain, then who else can medal?

    Aug 29, 2014, 11:40 AM EDT

    Pau Gasol, Kevin Love Pau Gasol, Kevin Love

    It should be USA/Spain for the gold, everyone else is playing for third.

  10. Pelicans’ coach sees Anthony Davis making big leap with Team USA

    Aug 29, 2014, 10:24 AM EDT

    Anthony Davis Anthony Davis

    Anthony Davis should lead the Pelicans to the playoffs, which would make Monty Williams feel safer.

  11. Manny Pacquiao wants to sign Metta World Peace to his Filipino team

    Aug 29, 2014, 10:00 AM EDT

    Eight-time world boxing champion Manny P Eight-time world boxing champion Manny P

    World Peace/Pandas Friend has already reached terms to play in China. Bidding war?

  12. Jeff Green donates $1 million to Georgetown athletic department

    Aug 29, 2014, 9:24 AM EDT

    NCAA East Regional Final - Georgetown v UNC Getty Images

    Celtics forward contributes money toward construction of building named for John Thompson Jr.

  13. Ty Lawson says not to sleep on Denver Nuggets

    Aug 29, 2014, 8:44 AM EDT

    Denver Nuggets Lawson celebrates a three-point shot against Golden State Warriors in their NBA Western Conference quarter-final basketball playoff in Denver Reuters

    If the Nuggets stay healthy, they are again a playoff threat in the West.

  14. Cavaliers GM admits concerns about rim protection on defense

    Aug 29, 2014, 8:00 AM EDT

    Kevin Love, David Griffin Kevin Love, David Griffin

    Protecting the paint is the obvious Achilles heel of the Cavaliers, on paper anyway.

  15. Kings rookie Nik Stauskus shares summer NBA experiences (VIDEO)

    Aug 29, 2014, 12:01 AM EDT

    Stauskas is thrilled to have finally made it to the NBA.

  16. Miami Heat top 10 plays of 2014 season (VIDEO)

    Aug 28, 2014, 10:29 PM EDT

    Chris Bosh Chris Bosh

    Wade and Bosh show they can get the job done now that LeBron has moved on.

Featured video

Will LeBron get booed Christmas Day in Miami?
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. K. Love (3124)
  2. D. Rose (2792)
  3. K. Bryant (2436)
  4. L. James (2382)
  5. K. Irving (2023)
  1. R. Allen (1886)
  2. C. Delfino (1842)
  3. T. Mozgov (1724)
  4. D. Waiters (1710)
  5. A. Davis (1682)