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GMs predict Heat to win title, Kevin Durant MVP

Jan 17, 2012, 2:45 PM EDT

Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat Getty Images

The annual NBA survey of team general managers is out and — shockingly — they think the Miami Heat are very good. Same with that Kevin Durant guy. So, they see the world pretty much like the rest of this.

In the annual survey of team executives, 74.1 percent of the GMs think the Miami Heat will win the NBA title, with Oklahoma City second (14.8) and the Los Angeles Lakers third (7.4). The Heat win this with a pretty wide margin, but the GMs are not always accurate (63 percent thought the Lakers would three-peat last season.)

Oklahoma City will come out of the West, according to 67.9 percent of the GMs. While the Lakers were second (17.9 percent), interestingly 7.1 percent liked Portland and the same number liked San Antonio.

As for Divisions, 64.3 percent thought Boston would win the Atlantic Division. They would like their vote back. The 21.4 percent that picked the 76ers look pretty smart right now. Also on the other coast, the GMs were not sold on the Clippers as 77.8 percent of GMs still thought the Lakers would win the Pacific.

GMs seem to think MVP is a two-man race — Kevin Durant (55.6 percent) and LeBron James (44.4 percent). No mention of Derrick Rose. Interesting.

When asked what player they would choose to start a franchise, it was a tie between Durant and James at 37 percent. However, when asked what opposing player forces the most plan adjustments, the winner was Dwight Howard at 29.6 percent (followed by Durant, James, Dirk Nowitzki and Rose).

Howard was named the best defensive player in the league in a landslide. Tony Allen won best perimeter defender over Rajon Rondo and Kobe Bryant. (Really, Kobe? Have they watched much of him the last three years? Not the same defender.) GMs also thought the Bulls were the best defensive team. Duh.

Rose was named the best point guard in the league with 59.3 percent of the vote. Kobe Bryant was the best two guard (55.6 percent, ahead of Dwyane Wade at 40.7), LeBron was the best small forward, Nowitzki the best five and Howard the best center.

Kobe was named the toughest player in the league by GMs. Kevin Love was named player who does the most with the least (raw skill).

The Clippers did clean up categories such as “best offseason move” and “team who will improve the most,” as you might expect.

As for the rookies, 63 percent of GMs think Kyrie Irving would win rookie of the year, with Ricky Rubio second (18.5 percent). When asked who from this class will be the best five years from now, Irving won with 51.9 percent of the vote, with a three way tie behind him (Rubio, Jonas Valanciunas and Derrick Williams). Norris Cole was the GMs pick as rookie most likely to surprise.

Gregg Popovich cleaned up the coaching awards. Hard to knock that.

  1. kvanhorn87 - Jan 17, 2012 at 3:39 PM

    1 in 5 picked the 76ers before this season ahead of New York and Boston. I guess there are some GMs who know what they are doing.

  2. danj3678 - Jan 17, 2012 at 3:45 PM

    “The Heat win this with a pretty wide margin ” WHOOOOOAAAA The Heat finally won something.. Wait.. No they didn’t. No Rings… No Nothing… Just power rankings, and regular season records… blah blah blah blah… Lebron Can’t do it without Wade so Heat Nation best hope for a return to health.

    • danj3678 - Jan 17, 2012 at 3:47 PM

      And I am referring to the LBJ era… I am aware of their prior (well deserved) title.

  3. shaner329 - Jan 17, 2012 at 4:03 PM

    When were these surveys conducted? If recently, some GMs need to pay much closer attention to the game.

  4. cantonbound13 - Jan 17, 2012 at 4:12 PM

    The Heat aren’t winning anything as long as Wade is hurt. We all know LeBron can’t lead a team to a championship.

  5. pl4tinum514 - Jan 17, 2012 at 4:40 PM

    I said it last time this came up, these injuries to Wade won’t be the last injuries for this team this year. Karma’s a bitch, mang.

  6. mlblogsbig3bosox - Jan 17, 2012 at 4:53 PM

    So.. Dirk was the best five.. interesting..

  7. cordae - Jan 17, 2012 at 5:23 PM

    I’m no James Naismith or anything but isn’t the FIVE and CENTER the same position?…

  8. rosloe62 - Jan 17, 2012 at 5:37 PM

    The NBA GM’s made these predictions? What a bunch of idiots. No wonder they ruined this season with a lock out. No way are the Heat winning it. Bulls and OC in the finals; pick em series! Durant MVP not much of a stretch. I guess nobody picks Rose because you wouldn’t want him winning it twice. I wonder if Adidas had something to do with it?lol

    • mytthor - Jan 18, 2012 at 4:22 AM

      GM’s didn’t lock anyone out. Owners did. Heat were in the finals last year and NO CHANCE to win this year? Please.

    • ibleedaquaorange - Jan 18, 2012 at 7:54 AM

      Nobody picks Rose ’cause the league doesn’t hate LeBron as much as they hated him last year, which is the only reason Rose won it. We now return to your regularly-scheduled MVP domination by #6, already in progress.

  9. dirksimmons - Jan 17, 2012 at 6:40 PM

    Why wouldn’t Rose get at least one vote? Didn’t his GM participate in this poll?

    • philtration - Jan 17, 2012 at 10:40 PM

      They were not allowed to vote for their own team or players.

    • chitownmatt - Jan 18, 2012 at 2:43 PM

      I doubt any of the GMs would have picked Rose for MVP three weeks into last year’s season either.

  10. asublimeday - Jan 17, 2012 at 6:51 PM

    Here’s the pathetic thing: the heat are going to rejoice like they just cured cancer if they win one title when this team should win every year. They’ll be happy if the team breaks up after 6 years with 2 titles. Which is a complete and total joke. If lebron retires with no titles, dream come true. As long as he retires with less than Kobe, Jordan, and any other plethora of vastly superior players who did it the right way.

    • blueintown - Jan 18, 2012 at 7:39 AM

      Ah, there it is, already preparing for the Heat to win the title so that when they do you can play it off like it was no big thing. It’s the next logical step.

      • southbeachtalent - Jan 18, 2012 at 11:49 AM

        you know it!

  11. newyorkstatus - Jan 17, 2012 at 8:49 PM

    where are these GM’s from? mars or canada? geewiz

  12. newyorkstatus - Jan 17, 2012 at 8:50 PM

    they must be from the moon

  13. philtration - Jan 17, 2012 at 10:38 PM

    These are the same guys that draft Hasheem Thabeet, Jonny Flynn, Terrence Williams, Cole Aldrich, Brandan Wright, Acie Law, Shelden Williams, Fran Vazquez, Mouhamed Sene, Yi Jianlian, Darko Milicic and Nikoloz Tskitishvili in the first round.

    They also gave big fat contracts to players like Jermaine O’Neal, Antonio Davis, Emeka Okafor, Gilbert Arenas, Stephon Marbury, Erick Dampier, Larry Hughes, Bobby Simmons, Eddy Curry, Darius Miles and Jerome James.

    These are the “Experts” that we are supposed to listen to when it come to predicting the NBA?

    • redbullenergydrink - Jan 17, 2012 at 11:55 PM

      Last I checked, GMs were human, and humans do make mistakes. Maybe you should get some team to hire you since you’d obviously make the “right” decisions.

      • philtration - Jan 18, 2012 at 11:12 AM

        You mean you actually “checked” to see if the G.M.s were human?

        Maybe you should get a hobby to fill your time.
        Maybe a girlfriend would help out too.

      • southbeachtalent - Jan 18, 2012 at 11:57 AM

        What’s your hobby phil???

        Being a hater apparently.

      • philtration - Jan 18, 2012 at 7:49 PM

        What is your hobby southbeach?
        Looking up my comments and responding to them like a stalker?

        You did that a lot last year too.

    • 00maltliquor - Jan 18, 2012 at 1:13 AM

      There’s hits and misses with everything in life my friend. If that’s all the lottery mistakes from the last decade and over puffed up contracts you can name then it doesn’t seem like those GM’s did a bad job at all. I get what your trying to say though.

      Don’t forget Michael Olowakandi and the infamous Kwame Brown! Adam Morrison. Robert Swift. Johan Petro. Patrick O’Brien. Yaroslav Korolev………………………….

      • philtration - Jan 18, 2012 at 11:18 AM

        I just picked out some of the really bad moves from the last 5 or 6 years since most of these G.M.s were the same guys you have running the NBA today.
        Like sheep, they all fall in line and do what they believe the other guys would do.

        Overpay average players because they are afraid someone else will do the same.
        Draft over hyped kids with a top 10 pick instead of the 2nd or 3rd round because they are afraid someone else will pick them first.
        Sheep will let you lead them right off of a cliff.

      • slopmcflop - Jan 18, 2012 at 1:00 PM

        So, phil, you’re saying they make personnel decisions based off what the market would dictate? That’s, uhm, pretty shocking right there. Geez, how can they sleep at night?

      • philtration - Jan 18, 2012 at 7:55 PM

        The market only dictates the over paying of so so players because the G.M.s get into bidding wars over players that are not worth that kind of money.
        They drive the price up.

        Paying way to much for an average player just so you can feel that you “won” is dumb no matter how you cut it.
        You don’t see Burger King and McDonalds paying someone $30 an hour so they can get “their guy”.

  14. cluelessdufus - Jan 18, 2012 at 6:20 AM

    i like the mvp but title either my bulls or the thunder heat will get close but comes short at the last second

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