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Jimmer Fredette will go in the lottery… but will he succeed?

Jun 20, 2011, 8:46 AM EDT

Gonzaga v Brigham Young Getty Images

General managers came out of the NBA Draft Combine saying Jimmer Fredette was brilliant in the interviews.

Then he has gone into a series of workouts for teams and impressed by holding his own against other top point guards in the draft.

He’s tried his best to answer the many questions about how his game will translate to the next level. His stock is on the rise and the question is where will he go? And once he gets there, can he be a success? Is he the next Steve Nash? The next Stephen Curry? Or the next Dan Dickau?

The high end of where he will go is No. 7 to the Sacramento Kings (which is where Draftexpress.com has him being taken). The Kings had him in for a workout and were impressed. But the questions about Fredette’s fit come to a key question in Sacramento — is he a point guard or a shooting guard?

Sacramento is already trying to figure that out with Tyreke Evans, but they want him to work more as a two. Fredette played his college ball as a shot-creating two guard, more of a scorer than a passer. If put next to Evans would they be too similar? Or could Fredette be a point guard, also work off the ball and knock down threes as Evans drives the lane? Fredette could take some of the ball-handling pressure off Evans. Don’t be shocked if the Kings take him, they want a guard to go with Evans and Fredette may be the best one available at that point.

Another possible destination is Utah at No. 12. The BYU star would be a hit in Salt Lake City. There, with Deron Williams traded and the team trying to rebuild, he could be a draw. But would he be a fit? If the Jazz take Brandon Knight with the No. 3 pick, do they really need another score-first point guard at No. 12? Or will they go another direction at No. 3 (Kemba Walker, Enes Kanter) and see Fredette as a fit with him?

The very low end of where Fredette goes is the Indiana Pacers at 15 — they like him. There they have Darren Collison as the established point guard, but Fredette could be a floor-stretching backup at first, maybe play along side him.

As we have mentioned before, Fredette needs to be in a free-flowing offensive system, one where he has the green light. He needs to run, have space to create, be able to spot up at the arc in transition (think how Dallas uses Jason Terry). Put him in a very structured system and what he does at the NBA level could be stifled. Utah could be that kind of problem.

If the Kings pick up the pace a little they could be a good fit. Indiana would be. There are other spots — Golden State at 11, Phoenix at 13 — which also could be a good fit. There are options. Fredette can shoot but he needs the freedom to do it or wherever he lands he will struggle.

  1. barkley4life - Jun 20, 2011 at 9:15 AM

    Jimmer Fredette meet J.J. Reddick…J.J. Reddick meet Jimmer Fredette

    • drmonkeyarmy - Jun 20, 2011 at 9:46 AM

      Don’t really think they are that similar of players. Reddick is more of a run off screens kind of player whereas Jimmer is a more ball in his hands type of player. Reddick is probably a better shooter, but Jimmer is better at creating his own shot and getting to the basket. Reddick actually turned out better then I thought. He deserves credit for working hard on his defensive game and getting physically stronger.

      • barkley4life - Jun 20, 2011 at 9:56 AM

        Good point…not really a knock on Fredette because I think J.J. is pretty good role player and would be an absolute assassin on other teams that arent coached by SVG lol.

        I don’t think Jimmer can get to the basketball in the NBA so he is going to have to be a knockdown shooter to create space for him. I see him more as pick n pop guy with the option to take it to the hole. Ideally he’s going to be a poor mans Rex Chapman for someone.

      • drmonkeyarmy - Jun 20, 2011 at 4:50 PM

        Now that is something I can agree with you about “Barkely”. Quicker but not quite the shooter as Rex Chapman. Hey, I’m sorry for losing my temper in the other thread. I still think you were wrong, but I wasn’t write to go off like that. For that, I apologize.

    • florida727 - Jun 20, 2011 at 10:04 AM

      I agree with the other reply post. Fredette can create his own shot, anywhere, anytime. Reddick cannot. Great shooter, but he has to get open off of screens. Reddick’s got the motor to do it, which is why he’s valuable, but Fredette can do that, as well as create his own when he has to… or wants to :)

      • Kurt Helin - Jun 20, 2011 at 2:01 PM

        Just a note, scouts have questions about how well Jimmer can create his own shot at the next level against better athletes. And he will not have the same ball dominating, green light he did in college. Also, in Redick’s case, he made himself a good defender and can put the ball on the floor. Two very different players, however.

  2. psousa1 - Jun 20, 2011 at 9:45 AM

    Funny, if he was black nobody would be questioning if he would make it – this blog, Sports Illustrated – nobody. But we know the rap. A ton of slow black guys come out every year but you don’t hear anything (Dajuan Wagner?). As soon as Kevin Love declared for the draft it was “too slow, not quick”. There may not be too many guys his size who are as quick as him.

    What’s wrong with Reddick? He comes off the bench and he is an important part of that team.

    • barkley4life - Jun 20, 2011 at 10:02 AM

      Stop with that nonsense…you can turn it around and say if he was black he wouldn’t be getting a ton of hype because athletically he doesn’t stack up with others at his position.

      Kevin Love was too slow his first couple of seasons. He has dropped alot of weight and worked on his foot work and speed…HIS TWO BIGGEST KNOCKS coming out of college.

      No one said anything is wrong with Reddick…if he has a career like Reddick and works just as hard he will turn out to be a good player.

      Black or white you name 6ft2 and under gunner guards without quickness and speed who have turned out to be good players in the NBA. He’s not a true PG and he doesn’t have the size to be a two guard. He’s a volume scorer who has to transition to a faster pace NBA.

      And yes he’s white…lol I KID I KID dont take it seriously.

  3. barkley4life - Jun 20, 2011 at 11:24 AM

    Lol I love all thumbs down in support of the white guy theory…and Nolan Smith is sitting at home hoping to go in the second round….

    Now I wonder….if Nolan Smith was white………I KID I KID….

  4. Bryce - Jun 20, 2011 at 1:42 PM

    Yes Jimmer will succeed…so quit asking!!

  5. zblott - Jun 20, 2011 at 1:55 PM

    I wish fans would stop comparing Jimmer to Curry or Nash because those two actually played like PG’s in college, something Jimmer’s never done — why do his supporters overlook this very basic fact. Here’s why Jimmer and some other players are overvalued in this draft (plus a group of undervalued ones, as well):

    http://www.behindthebasket.com/btb/2011/6/20/2011-nba-draft-undervalued-studs-and-overvalued-duds.html

    • skinnyreporter - Jun 20, 2011 at 9:16 PM

      Get your facts straight. Jimmer played point guard all through college, NOT shooting guard. He ended up No. 3 all time in assists in the Mountain West Conference. In his last three years of college he averaged 4.38 assists. That’s about one assist fewer than Nash averaged in his last three years. Stephen Curry came out a year early, but he actually averaged fewer assists in his sophomore and junior years than either Nash or Jimmer. Jimmer’s average, by the way, was roughly similar to the other chief player of the year candidate this year, Kemba Walker, and most of the other good point guards. Jimmer could probably play shooting guard in the pros, but the opponents would post up a bigger man down low and force him out of the game. Jimmer, by the way, has good size for a point guard, even in the NBA. He’s 3/4 inches shorter than Deron Williams but very strong and in excellent shape. Check out the 2011 NBA Combine measurements to see how Jimmer did in agility and strength tests. Would you believe No. 1 overall?

  6. iowahbr - Jun 22, 2011 at 4:05 PM

    Many of you won’t remember Rick Mount butthere was a pure shooter who really never left a mark in the NBA before the 3 point days. the book is still oen on this fellow but it should be fun to watch. JJ from the Mavs did a great job on the pick and roll in the play-offs but he might be step or 2 faster than Jimmer.

  7. rhb1994 - Jun 22, 2011 at 5:07 PM

    He reminds me of Ben Gordon from the Pistons. I think at the worst he will be a good bench player and he has the work ethic to be a PG or a SG what ever the team he lands on demands.

    Basement Decent bench player

    Mid level J.J Barea or Ben Gordon

    Ceiling Somewhere in between Steve Kerr and Pete Maravich.

    It will be fun to see how he turns out as a Byu fan however I think my Jazz should take him though, I see a big trade coming.

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