Skip to content

NBA draft lottery: Who needs to win this most?

May 16, 2011, 10:09 PM EDT

Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics Getty Images

Your team isn’t in the NBA draft lottery unless it needs help (or you used to do trades with Isiah Thomas).

Everybody in it needs to win it. Especially this year, where the drop off from All-Star to “maybe he can be a rotation guy in a couple years” to “we’re hoping he can develop” is very quick and steep. The prize at the top is Kyrie Irving of Duke, and although you can debate if he is a future All-Star or superstar, the consensus is you’re getting a very good point guard. And if you’re in the lottery, you take him.

Who needs to win this most? Here are our five picks:

Minnesota Timberwolves (25 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: The Wolves won 17 games last season, so they need all the help they can get. They have one building block inside in Kevin Love and a couple decent wing players (Wesley Johnson, Martell Webster), but they need a Mr. Outside. In theory that would be Ricky Rubio, the guard they drafted from Spain two years ago, but despite what Timberwolves management says, there is no reason for him to come over. They win and draft Irving, and they can shop Rubio to fill another need. They won 17 games, so there are a lot of needs.

Cleveland Cavaliers (22.7 percent chance of getting top pick, via their own pick and the Clippers pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Their last top lottery pick left them, and they need another. The Cavaliers won 19 games with a sad roster that suffered a lot of injuries (frankly explaining cold fusion would be easier than explaining how Minnesota won fewer games than Cleveland). There is no position on the floor where they are set. They need stars and role players, as such they are wisely stockpiling draft picks. Irving would give them a guy to start building around. They have two lottery picks, so theoretically they could get the top two picks, and now we are taking about the rebuilding getting fast tracked. And, despite all of Dan Gilbert’s actions, they are owed a break by the basketball gods.

Toronto Raptors (15.6 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Their best player left them and they need a star to replace him. This team won the lottery in 2006 and has Andrea Bargnani to show for it (Hey, it could have been worse, they could have drafted Adam Morrison.) Really, this team has a few pieces — DeMar DeRozan is a good athletic wing, Ed Davis was solid as a rookie, Jarryd Bayless is a quality guard, and even Bargnani can shoot. A top-flight point guard such as Irving ties this team together, and they get a lot better fast. Well, on offense. Until they start defending it’s all moot, but that’s another issue.

Detroit Pistons (4.3 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Maybe this will convince them it’s time to blow it up and rebuild. The Pistons have lived in a limbo with roster that was begging to be broken up and rebuilt, but that couldn’t happen with an unsettled ownership situation. Throw in veteran players in virtual open mutiny against the coach and things got ugly. Right now Rodney Stuckey is the point guard of the future, but he is no Irving at the point. They have a good young center in Greg Monroe and Austin Daye can be a part of the future, but Irving and a new owner might lead to the rebuilding of this team that has been needed for more than a season.

Golden State Warriors (0.8 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: This is a long-suffering fan base that had an owner that really didn’t care, they deserve a break. This is a team with some pieces that is about to undergo a makeover and winning the lottery helps that along dramatically. New owner Joe Lacob — who will represent the team at the lottery — is looking to change this franchise into one that plays defense and not Don Nelson’s scatter ball. Sure, they already have two guards in Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry, but they win the lottery and one of those (*cough* Curry *cough*) will be moved.

Latest Posts
  1. Report: Warriors to sign Ian Clark

    Jul 28, 2015, 11:09 PM EDT

    Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors Getty Images

    Could former summer-league standout fill Golden State’s need for an off-the-bench shooter?

  2. Mavericks sign Jamil Wilson, Brandon Ashley

    Jul 28, 2015, 9:16 PM EDT

    Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans Getty Images

    Dallas also reportedly talking to Salah Mejri

  3. Report: Serge Ibaka not yet cleared to play after March surgery

    Jul 28, 2015, 8:19 PM EDT

    "Son Of The Congo" - 2015 SXSW Music, Film + Interactive Festival Getty Images

    Thunder power forward was scheduled to play in African exhibition game

  4. Heat sign Josh Richardson

    Jul 28, 2015, 7:24 PM EDT

    Josh Richardson, Spencer Dinwiddle AP

    Miami cleared roster room for second-round pick

  5. Nicolas Batum responds to Toronto rumor in hysterical fashion

    Jul 28, 2015, 6:30 PM EDT

    Denver Nuggets v Portland Trail Blazers Getty Images

    I can tell you where Batum will land next summer — whichever team offers him the most money.

  6. Report: Knicks, Lakers, Wizards still interested in Kevin Seraphin

    Jul 28, 2015, 5:05 PM EDT

    Washington Wizards v Charlotte Hornets Getty Images

    The Lakers and Knicks don’t make a ton of sense for him.

  7. Former NBA All-Star Vin Baker training to be Starbucks manager

    Jul 28, 2015, 4:15 PM EDT

    Vin Baker AP

    He’s been sober four years, which is most important.

  8. Report: Michael Jordan shot down Boston draft-day effort to get Charlotte No. 9 pick

    Jul 28, 2015, 2:46 PM EDT

    Michael Jordan Michael Jordan

    Did Michael Jordan hijack the draft process in Charlotte again?

  9. Wisconsin State Assembly passes Bucks arena deal, clearing the way for Gov. Walker to sign

    Jul 28, 2015, 1:54 PM EDT

    Scott Walker Scott Walker

    Walker is expected to sign the bill to allocate funds for a new arena.

  10. Nets owner Mikhail Prokhorov: “We had a really good offseason.”

    Jul 28, 2015, 1:32 PM EDT

    Mikhail Prokhorov Mikhail Prokhorov

    The Nets added solid role players in addition to re-signing Brook Lopez and Thaddeus Young.

  11. Report: Clippers center Ekpe Udoh signs one-year deal in Turkey

    Jul 28, 2015, 1:20 PM EDT

    Ekpe Udoh Ekpe Udoh

    Udoh played five seasons with the Warriors, Bucks and Clippers.

  12. Matt Barnes on Serge Ibaka: “He’s just dirty.”

    Jul 28, 2015, 12:59 PM EDT

    Serge Ibaka, Jeff Green Serge Ibaka, Jeff Green

    Barnes hasn’t forgotten Ibaka’s altercations with Blake Griffin.

  13. Karl-Anthony Towns: I want Kevin Garnett to teach me “how to be a champion”

    Jul 28, 2015, 12:54 PM EDT

    Cleveland Cavaliers v Minnesota Timberwolves Getty Images

    Garnett came out to Summer League practices to work with Towns.

  14. Mason Plumlee rapping? Yes, Mason Plumlee rapping. (VIDEO)

    Jul 28, 2015, 8:00 AM EDT

    Brooklyn Nets v Detroit Pistons Getty Images

    Mason Plumlee with a money gun shooting $100s.

  15. James Ennis allows Heat to push back decision on him until opening night

    Jul 28, 2015, 12:40 AM EDT

    Miami Heat v Philadelphia 76ers Getty Images

    Ennis will get the chance to prove his case in training camp.

Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. K. Bryant (3515)
  2. S. Curry (3013)
  3. K. Durant (2471)
  4. B. Haywood (2386)
  5. J. Fredette (2350)
  1. L. James (2309)
  2. I. Thomas (2308)
  3. T. Hansbrough (2230)
  4. C. Copeland (2139)
  5. A. Davis (1951)