Skip to content

NBA draft lottery: Who needs to win this most?

May 16, 2011, 10:09 PM EDT

Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics Getty Images

Your team isn’t in the NBA draft lottery unless it needs help (or you used to do trades with Isiah Thomas).

Everybody in it needs to win it. Especially this year, where the drop off from All-Star to “maybe he can be a rotation guy in a couple years” to “we’re hoping he can develop” is very quick and steep. The prize at the top is Kyrie Irving of Duke, and although you can debate if he is a future All-Star or superstar, the consensus is you’re getting a very good point guard. And if you’re in the lottery, you take him.

Who needs to win this most? Here are our five picks:

Minnesota Timberwolves (25 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: The Wolves won 17 games last season, so they need all the help they can get. They have one building block inside in Kevin Love and a couple decent wing players (Wesley Johnson, Martell Webster), but they need a Mr. Outside. In theory that would be Ricky Rubio, the guard they drafted from Spain two years ago, but despite what Timberwolves management says, there is no reason for him to come over. They win and draft Irving, and they can shop Rubio to fill another need. They won 17 games, so there are a lot of needs.

Cleveland Cavaliers (22.7 percent chance of getting top pick, via their own pick and the Clippers pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Their last top lottery pick left them, and they need another. The Cavaliers won 19 games with a sad roster that suffered a lot of injuries (frankly explaining cold fusion would be easier than explaining how Minnesota won fewer games than Cleveland). There is no position on the floor where they are set. They need stars and role players, as such they are wisely stockpiling draft picks. Irving would give them a guy to start building around. They have two lottery picks, so theoretically they could get the top two picks, and now we are taking about the rebuilding getting fast tracked. And, despite all of Dan Gilbert’s actions, they are owed a break by the basketball gods.

Toronto Raptors (15.6 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Their best player left them and they need a star to replace him. This team won the lottery in 2006 and has Andrea Bargnani to show for it (Hey, it could have been worse, they could have drafted Adam Morrison.) Really, this team has a few pieces — DeMar DeRozan is a good athletic wing, Ed Davis was solid as a rookie, Jarryd Bayless is a quality guard, and even Bargnani can shoot. A top-flight point guard such as Irving ties this team together, and they get a lot better fast. Well, on offense. Until they start defending it’s all moot, but that’s another issue.

Detroit Pistons (4.3 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: Maybe this will convince them it’s time to blow it up and rebuild. The Pistons have lived in a limbo with roster that was begging to be broken up and rebuilt, but that couldn’t happen with an unsettled ownership situation. Throw in veteran players in virtual open mutiny against the coach and things got ugly. Right now Rodney Stuckey is the point guard of the future, but he is no Irving at the point. They have a good young center in Greg Monroe and Austin Daye can be a part of the future, but Irving and a new owner might lead to the rebuilding of this team that has been needed for more than a season.

Golden State Warriors (0.8 percent chance of getting top pick). Why they need to win the lottery: This is a long-suffering fan base that had an owner that really didn’t care, they deserve a break. This is a team with some pieces that is about to undergo a makeover and winning the lottery helps that along dramatically. New owner Joe Lacob — who will represent the team at the lottery — is looking to change this franchise into one that plays defense and not Don Nelson’s scatter ball. Sure, they already have two guards in Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry, but they win the lottery and one of those (*cough* Curry *cough*) will be moved.

Latest Posts
  1. Memphis’ defense, discipline propel them past Thunder in overtime lead series 2-1

    Apr 25, 2014, 12:16 AM EDT

    Zach Randolph, Mike Conley AP

    Memphis leads the series 2-1 and have game 4 in their place Saturday.

  2. Hawks take a 2-1 series lead over top-seeded Pacers

    Apr 24, 2014, 11:06 PM EDT

    Indiana Pacers v Atlanta Hawks - Game Three Getty Images

    Roy Hibbert is benched in the fourth quarter as Atlanta gets the job done once again.

  3. Thursday And-1 Links: Tracy McGrady makes minor league baseball roster as pitcher

    Apr 24, 2014, 6:39 PM EDT

    Tracy McGrady Tracy McGrady

    Mock him if you want, Tracy McGrady is getting paid to play baseball.

  4. Kevin Durant is tired of being asked about Tony Allen. Very tired.

    Apr 24, 2014, 5:46 PM EDT

    Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder - Game One Getty Images

    Sorry KD, but through two games Allen has been the MVP of this series.

  5. Jabari Parker tells Dan Patrick two-and-done is “ridiculous,” likes ‘Melo comparison

    Apr 24, 2014, 3:59 PM EDT

    Gardner-Webb v Duke Getty Images

    Jabari Parker says he passed more than Carmelo because he had a better team to pass to.

  6. How much would you pay Lance Stephenson in free agency this summer?

    Apr 24, 2014, 3:17 PM EDT

    Boston Celtics  v Indiana Pacers Getty Images

    He wants Steph Curry money, but he’ll likely get more like $7 million a year.

  7. Pau Gasol says he would stay with Lakers for Kobe, but there needs to be changes

    Apr 24, 2014, 2:32 PM EDT

    Denver Nuggets v Los Angeles Lakers Getty Images

    Gasol basically wants D’Antoni gone, but even then he likely moves on.

  8. Oscar Robertson says if he were Carmelo Anthony “I would leave today”

    Apr 24, 2014, 1:56 PM EDT

    Washington Wizards v New York Knicks Getty Images

    Oscar Robertson thinks ‘Melo should get out of Dodge (and go to Houston).

  9. Nick Young’s first pitch at Dodger game is juuuust a bit outside (VINE)

    Apr 24, 2014, 12:01 PM EDT

    Nick Young AP

    He will not be getting a baseball contract soon.

  10. Jason Collins makes the Time 100

    Apr 24, 2014, 11:26 AM EDT

    Bl-5vGACMAE8nxe

    Dwyane Wade does writeup on Serena Williams

  11. Clearly frustrated James Harden argues with reporter, calls him “weirdo”

    Apr 24, 2014, 10:52 AM EDT

    James Harden James Harden

    Harden is frustrated. He should be, shooting under 30 percent for two games.

  12. Mike Conley wins NBA Sportsmanship Award

    Apr 24, 2014, 10:19 AM EDT

    Mike Conley, Kendrick Perkins Mike Conley, Kendrick Perkins

    Grizzlies guard gets Joe Dumars Trophy over Jeff Green, Channing Frye, Bradley Beal, Damian Lillard and Mike Dunleavy

Featured video

Wizards playing spoiler in East
Top 10 NBA Player Searches
  1. A. Jefferson (3319)
  2. K. Durant (2802)
  3. L. James (2632)
  4. J. Noah (2385)
  5. D. Wade (2367)
  1. D. Howard (2349)
  2. D. Rose (2295)
  3. K. Bryant (2289)
  4. P. George (2196)
  5. L. Aldridge (2116)