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Spurs, Celtics slouching towards playoffs; count them out at your own peril

Mar 30, 2011, 3:38 PM EDT

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors AP

Back at the All-Star break, a Celtics vs. Spurs finals seemed like a good bet. Sure, it made the guys who count the profits at ABC/Disney nervous — you know they want Lakers/Heat, and they really don’t want the Spurs — but the Celtics and Spurs were playing the best basketball by far. That matchup promised execution and smart basketball.

Today, not so much.

The Spurs have lost four in a row and have Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili banged up. Then Gregg Popovich sat Tony Parker because he might get injured at some point. They’re old and it’s showing say the doubters.

The Celtics are 5-5 in their last 10, still don’t have Shaquille O’Neal back while Kendrick Perkins is banging bodies next to Kevin Durant. Ray Allen can’t even get his hands on the rock. Celtics fans are giving lip service to last season — when Boston limped into the playoffs then turned it on — but they don’t believe it. You can hear it in their voices.

Spurs and Celtics fans are right to be worried.

But not about the recent slumps.

Those will pass. Those are the things that come with veteran teams and smart veteran coaches getting guys healthy, resting teams for the playoffs. Come the playoffs, those slumps and what has caused them will disappear faster than Chris Brown’s career.

The things to worry about are bigger issues, ones there before the slumps.

For the Spurs, right now it’s all about being healthy. Which is what it’s been about for the past few years but they just never were in the playoffs, Parker or Ginobili were not right and the supporting cast was not there. This season everything is in place. The current injuries are not that serious — Parker will be back Thursday against Boston, and both Duncan and Gimobili might be. The fact they are close shows concerns these may linger into the postseason are overstated.

The Spurs just need to hold off the Lakers and Bulls for the best record overall — they have a three-game cushion in the loss column over both with just two weeks left. Popovich knows what he is doing. The Spurs will play their stars just enough to keep that lead. Aside that it’s about rest – fresh and healthy legs that allow big postseason minutes.

What should worry Spurs fans is simply the Lakers. They are healthy, they are defending, they are running the offense (for a change) and they look like defending champions. Can a healthy Spurs team beat the Lakers? That’s the question that should keep Popovich up at night.

In Boston, the concerns with this slump run deeper.

What is costing Boston games now was a strength earlier — end of game execution, as our man A. Sherrod Blakely notes at CSN Boston (in an article enumerating Boston worries). But come the playoffs, do you really think Paul Pierce is not going to drain the step-back jumper, that Ray Allen will not hit the three, that Kevin Garnett will not outwork everybody for the key rebound? Exactly.

Rajon Rondo still does not seem right, still seems to be battling a finger issue. But he can get some rest once the seedings are more set — Delonte West should help lift the pressure off him — and once the playoffs come he’ll be fine.

What should worry Celtics fans is Shaquille O’Neal: Will he be healthy enough, in good enough condition to really anchor the paint in the playoffs? He did it early in the season, but on a team with issues of age everywhere Shaq has the biggest question mark after his name. In the best of times his conditioning was an issue, in the best of times he got exposed on the pick-and-roll in the playoffs. What will Dwyane and LeBron, or Rose and Noah do to him? Shaq isn’t simply backing up Perkins now (as we thought when he was brought in last summer); he is the man in the middle. That should worry Celtics fans. It should worry Danny Ainge.

But the slumps Boston and San Antonio are going through now, those are not worth worrying about. These are veteran teams that understand what it takes to be ready for the playoffs. They will leave it all on the floor when it matters.

The real question is will that be enough?

  1. loungefly74 - Mar 30, 2011 at 3:56 PM

    i hope the Lakers don’t finish 1st in the west. why? after a “should-win” 1st round match-up…i believe, i could be wrong, but at the 2nd round, they would meet the mavs, who would be a lot easier to beat than the thunder.
    agree..only a fool would discounts the C’s the spurs.

  2. rapmusicmademedoit - Mar 30, 2011 at 7:14 PM

    both those teams are old, good regular season and playoff bust.
    Mamba ain’t fraid of no Thunder………
    3peat for the 6pack

    • andyhr17 - Mar 30, 2011 at 10:04 PM

      The Celtics are a playoff bust team? I believe they’ve been to the finals two out of the last three seasons, winning it all in one of those trips. They’ve been considered “old” in all three of those seasons. Yep. Pretty awful. Complete bust. Might as well write them off now and just give the Bulls or the Lakers the title. No need to actually see how it plays out.

  3. passerby23 - Mar 30, 2011 at 10:43 PM

    I agree that the concern for the Spurs isn’t the losing streak, it’s facing the Lakers. The worry for Boston is squandering these games will mean a #2 or #3 seed, which means facing the gauntlet in the second round of the Miami Heat. Whoever gets out of that series will be tired and beat up heading into a series with Chicago. Getting the top seed allows them to work out the kinks against a much weaker #8 seed and avoiding Chicago/Miami in the second round.

  4. cleareye1 - Apr 1, 2011 at 2:37 PM

    Both really good teams, but the Lakers are destined to win again. next year too, the its up for grabs.

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