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How Carmelo Anthony trade talks are like CBA negotiations

Dec 31, 2010, 12:05 PM EDT

Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets

Right now there is more posturing around the NBA than after a Chris Bosh dunk.

It is coming on two fronts — the Carmelo Anthony trade talks and the negotiations for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement between the players and owners.

Two very different things that have one thing in common — with no imminent deadline everyone is posturing. Deadline pressures drive deals, and right now there is plenty of time in both those situations. So everyone plays hardball and asks for the ridiculous. And that’s not going to change until hard deadlines impose reality on the sutuations.

For example, there is the latest rumor on the Anthony trade front — Denver is asking for five future first round picks from New Jersey as part of a Carmelo Anthony trade, according to Adrian Wojnarowski of Yahoo.

If this is true — and with all the rumors swirling around the Carmelo Anthony trade talks right now we are skeptical of everything — then it confirms reports the Nuggets are overplaying their hand. If true, it would make sense to hear the Nets are backing away from negotiations.

But there are still two months until Denver has to make a deal — right now Nugget management can afford to ask for the moon. Nets management can play the “we’re not interested” game. Carmelo Anthony and his people can privately demand New York only because the chance of losing out of millions in free agency is not yet a reality.

But as the deadline gets closer, Anthony may well reconsider the swamps of New Jersey. Denver will temper its demands and other teams will make their real best offers. (Maybe, it is possible that teams start lowballing the Nuggets as they realize Denver is under pressure, that is the risk the Nuggets are taking.)

The good news is that with Anthony, there is an end in sight — the Feb. 24 trade deadline.

With the CBA negotiations, it’s more nebulous. Right now owners can take the hardline of wanting 1/3 player salary rollbacks while the players can say that the song should remain the same. Right now the threat of lost paychecks and lost team revenue is not a reality.

Technically the current CBA expires and the lockout begins on July 1. But that deadline is not the real pressure point because a lockout in the middle of summer just means no Summer League and free agency gets pushed back. The casual fan doesn’t really care about that and will forgive those.

The pressure really comes as we get into September — when the opening of camps might be pushed back and, more serious yet, games become lost. When games are lost, fans are lost. That is when paychecks and gate revenue are missed. That is the real deadline pressure.

And it takes deadline pressure to make deals happen, to impose reality on a negotiation. Right now we don’t have that, so we have a lot of posturing.

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