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Smart money bet: LeBron stays in Cleveland, Wade and Bosh to Miami

Jul 6, 2010, 6:49 PM EDT

Thumbnail image for wade_bosh.jpgWe don’t know. There is no 100 percent.

But the signs are starting to point the same way, especially when you take a step back and look at them in total — LeBron James re-signs in Cleveland, while Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh team up in Miami.

Take these tweets from Yahoo’s Adrian Wojnarowski:

Cavs officials are confident of two things now, multiple sources say: Chris Bosh won’t play for them next season, but LeBron James will. Bosh has long made it clear that he doesn’t want to play in Cleveland, and LeBron knew it was a longshot to sell him on it.

Cavs understand there are still looming threats to pry LeBron, but getting Bosh isn’t make or break on keeping LBJ.

Then there was the tweet from our own Ira Winderman earlier today that said Heat officials are confident Dwyane Wade is returning.

And the breakdown from Nets owner Mikhail Prokhorov to his inner circle that Wade and Bosh were going to Miami.

There are other things out there, but more and more all the leaks, all the signs seem to be pointing to this outcome. And it is easy to believe — before free agency even started the conventional wisdom was LeBron and Wade stayed home, while Bosh joined one of them. Miami and Toronto have talked sign and trade before, by the way, that can happen.

If true, New Jersey and Chicago are on the outside looking in. Chicago would go hard after Boozer and the Nets are already talking to him — he would be the big signing and improve either of those teams dramatically. The loser in that battle will be selling spin to their fans.

We still don’t know. But more and more the stars are aligning for this, and after all the frenzy and hype two of the three top members of this class will have gone nowhere.

  1. hnirobert - Jul 6, 2010 at 8:39 PM

    Heat fan here and you guys have to stop getting our hopes up until something concrete, ie, a tweet from a player saying they’re coming to/staying with Miami, is officially announced, especially after Stephen A’s “report” from last week.

  2. Bill Singer - Jul 6, 2010 at 9:22 PM

    Comparing individual stats, Noah vs Bosh, it’s difficult to see how the Bulls justify withholding Noah from a sign-&-trade with the Raps when Bosh could attract Wade, if not LBJ, to join him in Chgo. I know it’s an oversimplification, since such deals involve much more, but it sounded as if parting with Noah was the stumbling block. And it sounded as if Bosh would be the initial domino.

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