Up 3-2 in their series against the Denver Nuggets and coming back home to Salt Lake, the Utah Jazz have a great chance to close out their first-round series tonight. It’s not the time for them to rest on their laurels, however, as they don’t want to have to go back to Denver for a game seven. Here’s what the Jazz need to do to advance to the second round and avoid a game seven, and what Denver needs to do to stave off elimination:
-Offensive Balance. Deron Williams and Carlos Boozer both had great games for the Jazz in game five. That wasn’t enough. The Nuggets are going to put points on the board; if the Jazz want to win, they need to have more balance offensively and have everybody on the floor be a threat to score.
-Control the paint on both sides of the floor. Denver was having trouble getting frontcourt production before Nene went down, and they’ve struggled to prevent penetration all series. Even without Kirilienko and Okur, the Jazz have an advantage inside. They need to press it.
-Win the first quarter. The Nuggets have panicked when forced to play from behind, especially on the road. If Utah makes an early run and opens up a lead, they could cruise to a game six victory.
-Get to the line. The Jazz shot 35 free throws in both game three and game four. In their game five loss, they only shot 25 free throws. The Jazz are the more physical team — they need to exploit that by taking the ball right at Denver’s interior defenders.
-Offensive execution. When they move the ball and work pick-and-rolls or low isolations, they’ve looked great. Their interior passing at the beginning of game five was a revelation. This team has a lot of talented scorers, but they won’t be able to put up enough points to win without playing team basketball on offense.
-Get J.R. Smith going. He’s had two good games in this series. The Nuggets won both of them. That’s not a coincidence. Getting something out of Lawson will be important as well.
-Stay calm. The Nuggets have looked bad when they’ve fallen behind in this series. If the Jazz get a lead, they need to stay patient and not try to get all their points back at once.
-Crowd the paint. Deron Williams is going to get his regardless of what the Nuggets do against him. Outside of Deron, the Jazz would much rather rely on Paul Milsap and Carlos Boozer than C.J. Miles and Wesley Matthews. The Nuggets obviously don’t have a ton of size. Still, they can make an effort to front Boozer and Milsap, bring doubles, and make them work for their points in the paint.
-Play with confidence. The Nuggets were in a 3-1 hole, but now they have a chance to make Utah come to their house for a game seven. If they play 48 minutes of good ball, they can do it. But they have to believe that they can.