Apr 5, 2010, 12:39 PM EDT
Extending anything less than a franchise player type can be a tricky proposition: all of the evidence for the extension is very circumstantial, and the money guaranteed to the player through an extension hinges on an assumption of continued development. Needless to say, not all players continue to make strides in their game after their first big payday, and whether their complacency comes from losing that dangling carrot overhead or simply hitting a wall in production is player-specific.
The Portland Trailblazers have all of the usual hurdles in negotiating an extension with Greg Oden, but the situation is far more complicated than it should be. From Ben Golliver of Blazer’s Edge:
In both of those negotiations [with Brandon Roy and LaMarcus Aldridge], players, management and owner could
reasonably agree on most, if not all, of the critical questions. How
important is this player to the franchise on the court? How reliable is
he off the court and in the community? How do his statistics through
three seasons stack up against others around the league? Has his manner
of play demonstrated potential for future earnings that exceed his raw
statistical output to date?
Agreeing in principle on these issues makes for a significantly
easier negotiation process. In Oden’s case, virtually all of these
questions lack definitive answers. That could make for — to co-opt a
phrase — uncalm waters.
That’s troublesome, and there are likely dozens of other difficult questions that will factor into the Blazer’s negotiations with Greg. How can anyone accurately gauge his worth when he’s essentially lost two seasons to injury? Are his injuries indicative of a real trend, or were they flukes? How much is a center worth in a league evolving away from traditional pivots? And what does all of this mean in the context of the new CBA?
Kevin Pritchard, assuming he’s still managing the Blazers by this summer, has a tough road ahead.
- Breaking down Western Conference playoff chase with two weeks left in season 4
- Breaking down Eastern Conference playoff chase with two weeks left in season 5
- Five Things We Learned in NBA Sunday: Dwyane Wade is going to will Heat into playoffs 13
- Sad news: Craig Sager announces his cancer has returned 16
- NBA players’ union head believes new labor deal can be reached without a work stoppage 11
- Kendrick Perkins says you’re blowing the LeBron James/Kevin Love thing way out of proportion 23
- Mark Cuban rips officials, NBA: ‘It’s criminal’ how Monta Ellis doesn’t get calls 25
- Shaquille O’Neal says he regrets leaving Magic for Lakers 43